Match Info

Date: 30 April 2022, Saturday


	Homberg		Wiedenbrück

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.78
	4.1	3.45	1.77
	4	3.5	1.8
	4.16	3.5	1.86
	4.75	3.3	1.67
	4.3	3.58	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (5.63)	3.46 ↓ (3.9)	1.79 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homberg
21.9%

Draw
26.6%

Wiedenbrück
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

23.2%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.8%

22.8%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homberg's performance.

Wiedenbrück has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wiedenbrück might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homberg than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wiedenbrück than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wiedenbrück could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	42.9%	42.9%

Homberg - Wiedenbrück Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Homberg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Wiedenbrück will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wiedenbrück could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Wiedenbrück is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Homberg won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfB Homberg
German Regionalliga West
27.04.22	Lippstadt 08 - Homberg	0:1 ✺
23.04.22	Uerdingen - Homberg	0:4 ✺
16.04.22	Homberg - Rot-Weiß Oberhausen	0:1 ✺
01.04.22	Homberg - Schalke 04 II	0:3 ✺
26.03.22	Preußen Münster - Homberg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLLL
- SC Wiedenbrück
German Regionalliga West
23.04.22	Wiedenbrück - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	3:1 ✺
16.04.22	Fortuna Köln - Wiedenbrück	2:3 ✺
09.04.22	Wiedenbrück - Wuppertal	0:1 ✺
02.04.22	Straelen - Wiedenbrück	1:1 ✺
26.03.22	Wiedenbrück - Rot-Weiß Essen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.11.21	Wiedenbrück - Homberg	3:0
08.05.21	Homberg - Wiedenbrück	0:3
25.11.20	Wiedenbrück - Homberg	0:0

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