Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 15

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Homburg		Hoffenheim II

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.5	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.35
	2.78	3.51	2.34
	2.74	3.49	2.29	Watch
	2.71	3.5	2.25
	2.7	3.5	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.82)	3.5 ↓ (3.75)	2.31 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
33.9%

Draw
26.2%

Hoffenheim II
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

24.2%

52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

23.8%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Homburg's performance.

Hoffenheim II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hoffenheim II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Homburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim II than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hoffenheim II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Homburg - Hoffenheim II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Kirchhoff B. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homburg won 0.

Homburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hoffenheim II in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Homburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Homburg won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 22:31 (average 1.2:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Homburg won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:16 (average 1.3:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.10.24	Freiberg - Homburg	1:0 ✺
18.10.24	Homburg - FSV Frankfurt	2:3 ✺
11.10.24	Kickers Offenbach - Homburg	5:1 ✺
05.10.24	Homburg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:0 ✺
28.09.24	Göppinger - Homburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLTW
- Hoffenheim II
German Regionalliga Sudwest
26.10.24	Hoffenheim II - Eintracht Frankfurt II	3:1 ✺
23.10.24	Hoffenheim II - Mainz II	5:0 ✺
19.10.24	Hessen Kassel - Hoffenheim II	2:4 ✺
04.10.24	Stuttgarter Kickers - Hoffenheim II	1:2 ✺
27.09.24	Hoffenheim II - Eintracht Trier	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
02.12.23	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	1:1
19.08.23	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	1:2
27.05.23	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	2:1
25.02.23	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	0:0
17.12.21	Hoffenheim II - Homburg	2:1
28.08.21	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	3:3
08.05.21	Homburg - Hoffenheim II	1:1

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