Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 33

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	Homburg		Wormatia Worms

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.75	3.9
	1.65	4	3.9
	1.81	4.02	3.81
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.74	3.96	4.05
	1.73	3.85	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.92)	3.86 ↑ (3.6)	3.84 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Homburg
52.5%

Draw
23.7%

Wormatia Worms
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

25.5%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

24.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Wormatia Worms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wormatia Worms than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Homburg - Wormatia Worms Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Homburg won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Wormatia Worms could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Homburg is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Homburg won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Homburg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.05.23	Eintracht Trier - Homburg	1:4 ✺
05.05.23	Homburg - Bahlinger	2:2 ✺
30.04.23	Mainz II - Homburg	2:2 ✺
22.04.23	Homburg - TSV Steinbach Haiger	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	Ulm 1846 - Homburg	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTLT
- Wormatia Worms
German Regionalliga Sudwest
12.05.23	Wormatia Worms - Balingen	3:0 ✺
06.05.23	VfR Aalen - Wormatia Worms	1:4 ✺
29.04.23	Wormatia Worms - Freiberg	1:3 ✺
21.04.23	FSV Frankfurt - Wormatia Worms	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Wormatia Worms - Rot-Weiß Koblenz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.11.22	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	2:5
26.11.18	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	4:0
28.07.18	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	2:1
21.04.17	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	1:1
16.10.16	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	2:1
29.03.16	Homburg - Wormatia Worms	1:0
12.09.15	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	0:5

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