Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 28

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Ulm 1846		Homburg

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.4	3.8
	1.75	3.4	4.15
	1.84	3.53	4.19
	1.81	3.44	4.3
	1.81	3.5	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	4.07 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ulm 1846
51%

Draw
26.5%

Homburg
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

27.5%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

29.9%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Homburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Ulm 1846 - Homburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 3).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ulm won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Homburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ulm is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Ulm won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Ulm won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ulm 1846
German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.04.23	Balingen - Ulm 1846	2:1 ✺
04.04.23	Ulm 1846 - VfR Aalen	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Ulm 1846 - FSV Frankfurt	1:4 ✺
18.03.23	Rot-Weiß Koblenz - Ulm 1846	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Ulm 1846 - Hoffenheim II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LTLWW
- FC 08 Homburg
German Regionalliga Sudwest
08.04.23	Homburg - VfB Stuttgart II	2:0 ✺
04.04.23	Astoria Walldorf - Homburg	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Homburg - Kickers Offenbach	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Hessen Kassel - Homburg	2:0 ✺
17.03.23	Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz - Homburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
09.10.22	Homburg - Ulm 1846	1:4
04.12.21	Ulm 1846 - Homburg	1:2
20.08.21	Homburg - Ulm 1846	3:3
12.06.21	Ulm 1846 - Homburg	0:2
30.01.21	Homburg - Ulm 1846	4:4
07.12.19	Ulm 1846 - Homburg	2:0
28.08.19	Homburg - Ulm 1846	1:5

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