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Current Win Probability
Ulm 1846 28%
Draw 23.6%
Homburg 48.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
15.5%
20.6%
63.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulm 1846 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ulm 1846's performance.
Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Homburg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Ulm 1846 - Homburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Heinrich M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 1 - 1, El Helwe H. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulm won 1.
Performances by Homburg have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Homburg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Homburg is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Ulm has recorded 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:23 (averaging 1.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ulm against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:8 goals (averaging 0.9:1 per game).