Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Francisco Morazán (San Pedro Sula)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer
Costa-rica	Canal 6
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, NBC Universo, Paramount+, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW


	Honduras		Costa Rica

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.4	Watch
	3.05	2.98	2.38	Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.42
	3.13	3.05	2.34	Watch
	3.44	3.09	2.4	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↑ (2.7)	3.03 ↑ (3)	2.44 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras
30.3%

Draw
31.1%

Costa Rica
38.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.5%

31%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honduras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Costa Rica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
43.7%	31.2%	25%

Honduras - Costa Rica Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Honduras will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Costa Rica will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Honduras: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Honduras (votes: 2 - 25%). Costa Rica (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Honduras (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Honduras (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Costa Rica (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Menjivar E. (G) Olimpia 14. Najar A. Nashville SC 15. Montes G. Herediano 3. Santos M. Motagua 5. Arriaga K. Levante 23. Alvarez J. Olimpia 20. Flores D. (C) Al Najma 8. Rosales J. Minnesota United 11. Benguche J. 12. Quioto R. Al Najma 17. Palma L. Lech Poznan	1. Navas K. (C) UNAM Pumas 2. Murillo A. Herediano 6. Gamboa A. Alajuelense 4. Vargas J. Millonarios 3. Mitchell J. Sturm Graz 15. Calvo F. Al Ettifaq FC 14. Galo O. Riga FC 19. Waston K. Saprissa 10. Alcocer J. Westerlo 9. Ugalde M. Spartak Moscow 12. Martinez A. New York City
Substitutes
21. Arboleda Y. Olimpia 2. Crisanto L. Motagua 16. Flores F. Real Espana 10. Lopez A. Olancho 22. Lopez L. (G) Real Espana 9. Lozano C. Santos Laguna 6. Melendez D. Motagua 18. Ortiz L. (G) Motagua 19. Pineda C. Sporting San Jose 7. Pinto J. Olimpia 4. Vega L. Motagua 13. Vega Orellana A. N. Marathon	23. Alvarado E. (G) Saprissa 16. Bran Flores A. J. Alajuelense 5. Cascante J. Austin FC 13. Cruz A. Herediano 18. Lezcano A. (G) San Carlos 17. Madrigal W. Saprissa 22. Mora C. Univ. Craiova 8. Mora J. Saprissa 7. Perez C. Alajuelense 20. Quiros H. Herediano 11. Vargas K. Herediano 21. Zamora A. Academico Viseu
Coaches
Rueda R.	Herrera M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Montes G. 🟨,
37', Galo O. 🟨,
45+1', Ugalde M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mitchell J. ↓, Quiros H. ↑,
46', Ugalde M. ↓, Mora C. ↑,
60', Alvarez J. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
60', Benguche J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
65', Gamboa A. 🟨,
68', Montes G. ↓, Vega L. ↑,
72', Martinez A. ↓, Zamora A. ↑,
80', Quioto R. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
80', Palma L. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
90+3', Murillo A. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
90+4', Arboleda Y. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Honduras won 1.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Honduras won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honduras
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Honduras - Nicaragua	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Haiti - Honduras	0:0 ✺
Gold Cup
02.07.25	Mexico - Honduras	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Panama - Honduras	1:2 penalties ✺
24.06.25	Honduras - Curaçao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTLWW
- Costa Rica
FIFA World Cup
09.09.25	Costa Rica - Haiti	3:3 ✺
05.09.25	Nicaragua - Costa Rica	1:1 ✺
Gold Cup
29.06.25	USA - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties ✺
22.06.25	Mexico - Costa Rica	0:0 ✺
18.06.25	Costa Rica - Dominican Republic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Nations League
23.03.24	Costa Rica - Honduras	3:1
FIFA World Cup
16.11.21	Costa Rica - Honduras	2:1
07.10.21	Honduras - Costa Rica	0:0
CONCACAF Nations League
06.06.21	Honduras - Costa Rica	3:2 penalties
FIFA World Cup
07.10.17	Costa Rica - Honduras	1:1
Gold Cup
07.07.17	Honduras - Costa Rica	0:1
FIFA World Cup
28.03.17	Honduras - Costa Rica	1:1

Honduras - Costa Rica: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide