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Current Win Probability
Honduras 29%
Draw 33.1%
Qatar 38%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.4%
29%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
20.9%
24.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Honduras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Honduras's form might have worsened.
Qatar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Honduras than the current prediction. (+22.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Honduras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qatar than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qatar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
5.9%
70.6%
23.5%
Honduras - Qatar Predictions
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Honduras will win (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Qatar will win (votes: 8 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 24 - 70.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.3% – 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Honduras is Qualified for Gold Cup (Play Offs)
Honduras is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Qatar in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).