The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hong Kong Rangers 11.3%
Draw 15.6%
North District 73.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
13.6%
18.1%
68.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.3%
17.7%
69.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
North District has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North District than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Hong Kong Rangers - North District Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Yip Ka-Yu (C) 3. Antenor Junior 11. Chen H. 20. Cheung C. 9. Flavio Tico 10. Ho C. J. 4. Leung W. F. 26. Ma C. 14. Ma Y. 25. Paulinho Souza 5. Zarei A.
63. Li H. D. (G) 4. Fung Kwun-Ming 77. Kauan V. 20. Kayke David 19. Khan J. 16. Mosquera K. 5. Paez C. 70. Samuel Granada (C) 2. Singh B. K. 11. Weverton Gudula 7. Yuen Sai-Kit
Substitutes
96. Cheung O. 30. Chow W. 35. Lam C. Y. 18. Lau Y. A. 12. Matheus Pato 19. Tong C. (G) 17. Tsang C. 99. Wong H. (G) 28. Wong M. 39. Wong S. 21. Yakubu Nassam I. 23. Yung H.
13. Chan K. (G) 18. Dai T. M. 10. Law Hiu-Chung 9. Lo Kong-Wai 23. Siu C. N. 6. Tsang C. 87. Tsui L. 8. Vinicius Soares 3. Wong Chun-Ho 15. Wong H. 37. Wong Tsz-Ho 1. Yuen W. C. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ma C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Cheung C. 🟨,
59', Chen H. ↓, Yakubu Nassam I. ↑,
63', Kauan V. ↓, Vinicius Soares ↑,
63', Yuen Sai-Kit ↓, Wong Tsz-Ho ↑,
66', 0 - 1, Vinicius Soares ⚽,
73', Leung W. F. ↓, Matheus Pato ↑,
73', Ma C. ↓, Tsang C. ↑,
77', Samuel Granada 🟨,
78', Weverton Gudula ↓, Law Hiu-Chung ↑,
84', Cheung C. ↓, Lam C. Y. ↑,
84', Ho C. J. ↓, Yung H. ↑,
88', Khan J. ↓, Lo Kong-Wai ↑,
88', Fung Kwun-Ming ↓, Wong Chun-Ho ↑,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 11th in the Relegation and 2nd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Hong Kong Rangers (last 5 matches: 1 win).
North District is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
North District could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The betting markets point to North District as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Hong Kong Rangers has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:20 (averaging 2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hong Kong Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).
Hong Kong
Watch
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Yip Ka-Yu (C) 
Antenor Junior 
Chen H. 
Zarei A. 
Mosquera K. 
Yakubu Nassam I. 
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