The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hong Kong Rangers 15.2%
Draw 18%
Lee Man 66.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
14.3%
18.4%
67.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.8%
17.8%
69.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hong Kong Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Lee Man has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Yip Ka-Yu (G) 3. Antenor Junior 20. Cheung C. 10. Ho C. J. 4. Leung W. F. 26. Ma C. 12. Matheus Pato 14. Ma Y. 25. Paulinho Souza 21. Yakubu Nassam I. (C) 5. Zarei A.
28. Chan K. (G) 77. Gigauri M. 11. Ichikawa S. 10. Kraev B. 4. Tachibana R. 22. Tsang Y. E. 44. Tursunov D. 99. Udebuluzor M. 32. Villalobos E. 3. Willian Gaucho 6. Wu C. R. (C)
Substitutes
11. Chen H. 96. Cheung O. 9. Flavio Tico 77. Joo Yong H. 35. Lam C. Y. 7. Lau Chi-Lok 67. Lau Y. 17. Tsang C. 99. Wong H. (G) 28. Wong M. 22. Yu L. F. Z. 23. Yung H.
36. Bau H. Y. H. 37. Chan Y. 5. Chan Y. T. 80. Chung Wai-Keung 30. Hui S. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 33. Lo K. F. (G) 8. Martinez B. 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 14. Yu Joy-yin 31. Yung H. T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Yakubu Nassam I. ⚽,
18', Tsang Y. E. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Willian Gaucho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Ma Y. ↓, Joo Yong H. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Udebuluzor M. ⚽,
59', Willian Gaucho 🟨,
61', Villalobos E. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
67', Ma C. ↓, Lau Chi-Lok ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Paulinho Souza ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, Martinez B. ⚽,
79', Udebuluzor M. ↓, Ngan Lok-Fung ↑,
81', Matheus Pato ↓, Flavio Tico ↑,
83', Gigauri M. ↓, Yung H. T. ↑,
86', Ho C. J. ↓, Yung H. ↑,
86', Cheung C. ↓, Lam C. Y. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 4, Kraev B. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Hong Kong Rangers (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lee Man is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Recently, Hong Kong Rangers has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
The betting markets point to Lee Man as the clear and undisputed favorite.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Hong Kong Rangers has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:32 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hong Kong Rangers against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 14:17 goals (averaging 1.4:1.7 per game).