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Current Win Probability
Hong Kong Rangers 13%
Draw 17.4%
Lee Man 69.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.2%
17.4%
69.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
12.7%
16.7%
72.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hong Kong Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Lee Man has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hong Kong Rangers than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lee Man than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Hong Kong Rangers - Lee Man Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
70. Yip Ka-Yu (G) 45. Ansah M. 99. Cheng Tsz-Sum 29. Cortes M. 5. Hayashi R. 3. Kim Min-Kyu 7. Lau Chi-Lok (C) 18. Lau Y. A. 4. Leung W. F. 35. Panigazzi M. 14. Yakubu Nassam I.
1. Leung Hing-Kit (G) 7. Baffoe N. 8. Camargo E. 77. Gigauri M. 17. Mikael 99. Poon Pui-Hin 4. Tachibana R. 44. Tursunov D. 3. Willian Gaucho 6. Wu C. R. (C) 55. Yu Wai-Lim
Substitutes
13. Chan K. (G) 30. Chow W. 79. Chow Y. I. 44. Fung Kwun-Ming 27. Lam Lok-Yin J. 11. Ma Y. 37. Tsang C. 16. Wegener M. 51. Yang B.
28. Chan K. (G) 11. Cheng S. K. 5. Dudu 30. Hui C. 9. Lau K. 27. Lau Yu-Ho 16. Ngan Lok-Fung 25. Poon S. (G) 19. Sebai S. 31. Yung H. T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', Lau Y. A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Gigauri M. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Lau Y. A. (Own goal),
38', Lau Chi-Lok 🟨,
38', Lau Y. A. ↓, Lam Lok-Yin J. ↑,
40', 1 - 2, Cortes M. ⚽,
45+4', Poon Pui-Hin 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Cortes M. 🟨,
61', Leung W. F. 🟨,
65', Poon Pui-Hin ↓, Lau K. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Mikael ⚽,
86', Tursunov D. ↓, Dudu ↑,
86', Camargo E. ↓, Cheng S. K. ↑,
88', 2 - 3, Lau Chi-Lok (Penalty Awarded),
90+6', 3 - 3, Cheng Tsz-Sum ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
95', Yu Wai-Lim 🟨,
107', Gigauri M. ↓, Sebai S. ↑,
107', Tachibana R. ↓, Yung H. T. ↑,
108', Yu Wai-Lim 🟥,
113', Cheng Tsz-Sum ↓, Tsang C. ↑,
114', Tsang C. 🟨,
115', Dudu 🟨,
116', Panigazzi M. 🟨,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Willian Gaucho (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 2.
Hong Kong Rangers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Lee Man is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Hong Kong Rangers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Hong Kong Rangers has had a series of away games.
In this match, Lee Man is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hong Kong Rangers won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:27. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Hong Kong Rangers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
Watch
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Yip Ka-Yu (G) 
Ansah M. 
Cortes M. 
Hayashi R. 
Kim Min-Kyu 
Panigazzi M. 
Baffoe N. 
Gigauri M. 
Mikael 
Tursunov D. 
Yang B. 
Sebai S. 
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