Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group B

Date: 25 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Tapiolan Urheilupuisto (Espoo)


	Honka		Tampereen Pallo-Veikot

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	3.2
	1.86	4	3.4
	1.92	3.8	3.45
	1.93	3.62	3.45
	1.97	3.82	3.24
	1.93	3.8	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.6)	3.79 ↑ (3.5)	3.32 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka
48.1%

Draw
24.2%

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honka's performance.

Tampereen Pallo-Veikot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampereen Pallo-Veikot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampereen Pallo-Veikot than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampereen Pallo-Veikot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honka - Tampereen Pallo Veikot Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Vaananen T. (C) 14. Bragge A. 16. Davidyan E. 7. Desalegen M. 11. Goshnaw A. 23. Kantelinen S. 18. Savini S. 15. Simonov I. 25. Tukia O. 56. Velasquez A. 20. Vesterbacka L.	1. Kohonen K. (G) 4. Ek E. 8. Koroma M. 11. Kostiainen R. 7. Kujala A. 26. Pitkakoski S. 13. Puustinen V. 18. Riikonen E. 3. Seppala L. 5. Siren M. 56. Ylinen T. (C)
Substitutes
54. Ahokas B. 2. Hamalainen J. 17. Hayes D. 22. Pitkanen A. 4. Poyry F. 21. Tacza S. 1. Tanska J. (G)	19. Huttunen M. 31. Juusela J. 10. Lehti T. 32. Maja S. (G) 22. Mbachu E. 37. Rantala T. 2. Rantanen A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Koroma M. 🟨,
43', Vesterbacka L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Desalegen M. ↓, Ahokas B. ↑,
58', 0 - 1, Kujala A. ⚽,
58', Simonov I. ↓, Hamalainen J. ↑,
61', 0 - 2, Kujala A. ⚽,
62', Vaananen T. 🟨,
62', Koroma M. ↓, Lehti T. ↑,
62', Siren M. ↓, Mbachu E. ↑,
69', Velasquez A. ↓, Hayes D. ↑,
70', 0 - 3, Mbachu E. ⚽,
76', Kostiainen R. ↓, Huttunen M. ↑,
76', Puustinen V. ↓, Rantala T. ↑,
79', Goshnaw A. ↓, Pitkanen A. ↑,
79', Huttunen M. ↓, Juusela J. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage: )).

Honka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches TPV is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Honka will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Honka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
18.05.24	SexyPöxyt - Honka	0:3 ✺
12.05.24	Honka - Ilves 2	1:3 ✺
Finnish Cup
08.05.24	Honka - PK-35 Vantaa	1:2 ✺
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
28.04.24	Inter Turku II - Honka	5:3 ✺
24.04.24	Honka - Esbo Bollklubb	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLLT
- Tampereen Pallo-Veikot
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
19.05.24	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Inter Turku II	0:4 ✺
12.05.24	Esbo Bollklubb - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	1:1 ✺
05.05.24	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - VJS Vantaa	2:2 ✺
30.04.24	Tampere United - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	1:2 ✺
24.04.24	Tampereen Pallo-Veikot - Ilves-Kissat	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
17.09.16	Honka - Tampereen Pallo-Veikot	3:1

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