Match Info

FINLAND: KAKKONEN GROUP B

Date: 1 September 2023, Friday


	Honka Akatemia		Grankulla IFK

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.65	3.45
	1.63	4.84	3.87
	1.6	4.45	4.25
	1.6	4.3	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.12)	4.56 ↑ (3.6)	3.92 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honka Akatemia
56.5%

Draw
20.1%

Grankulla IFK
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

25.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Honka Akatemia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Honka Akatemia's performance.

Grankulla IFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grankulla IFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka Akatemia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honka Akatemia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grankulla IFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honka Akatemia - Grankulla IFK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Ahlblad M. (G) 37. Huhtamaki U. 49. Hyvonen M. 95. Kononen A. 61. Niemelä O. (C) 77. Nikki J. 39. Peltola A. 42. Rasanen K. 14. Saarikivi N. 48. Ulundu V. 27. Venermo A.	1. Vuorinen T. (G) 89. Arrakoski A. 7. Hakola J. 24. Hellsten H. 11. Khary O. (C) 4. Kouyate B. 9. Langhoff D. 14. Ruokokoski R. 13. Sainio A. 19. Salo J. 29. Sorvali M.
Substitutes
57. Aittokoski I. 75. Goshnaw A. 46. Haruna B. 54. Opoku S. 92. Ostergard O. 52. Serjala N. (G) 74. Tella A.	18. Assehnoun H. 26. Dubova K. 21. Hormavirta J. 12. Lampen N. (G) 27. Mazouz A. 3. Pitkanen O. 20. Pulkkinen N.

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Honka Akatemia won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently Honka Akatemia have a series of guest games.

Honka Akatemia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Honka Akatemia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Honka Akatemia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Honka Akatemia
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
25.08.23	Tampere United - Honka Akatemia	2:2 ✺
21.08.23	Honka Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	0:2 ✺
11.08.23	Ilves-Kissat - Honka Akatemia	3:1 ✺
30.07.23	HJS - Honka Akatemia	2:3 ✺
26.07.23	Jazz Pori - Honka Akatemia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLLWW
- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group B
27.08.23	Grankulla IFK - SexyPöxyt	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	PIF Pargas - Grankulla IFK	2:2 ✺
13.08.23	Grankulla IFK - P-Iirot Rauma	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Ilves 2 - Grankulla IFK	1:2 ✺
23.07.23	Grankulla IFK - Espoon Palloseura	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group B
11.06.23	Grankulla IFK - Honka Akatemia	2:2
08.08.22	Honka Akatemia - Grankulla IFK	1:2
15.05.22	Grankulla IFK - Honka Akatemia	0:0
10.10.21	Grankulla IFK - Honka Akatemia	1:2
07.08.21	Honka Akatemia - Grankulla IFK	3:0
27.09.19	Honka Akatemia - Grankulla IFK	1:1
28.06.19	Grankulla IFK - Honka Akatemia	1:1

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