Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Horizonte		Central SC

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.82
	3.61	2.94	2.04
				Watch
	3.75	3.23	2.03
	4.2	3.1	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.56)	3.09 ↓ (3.4)	1.92 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horizonte
23.2%

Draw
29.4%

Central SC
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

26.9%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4%

26.1%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horizonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Central SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central SC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central SC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Horizonte - Central SC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', 🟥,
32', 🟥,
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, Ruan ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Edson Kapa ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Horizonte has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Central PE is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Central PE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Central PE is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Horizonte won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
01.06.25	Horizonte - Santa Cruz de Natal	4:2 ✺
25.05.25	Central SC - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Horizonte - Sousa	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Horizonte - Treze	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LWLWL
- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.25	Central SC - Treze	1:0 ✺
31.05.25	Treze - Central SC	0:3 ✺
25.05.25	Central SC - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Central SC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Central SC - Horizonte	1:0

Horizonte - Central SC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide