Match Info

Serie D - Round 5

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday


	Central SC		Santa Cruz Recife

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.1
	3.85	2.9	2.01
	3.96	3	2.09
	3.92	2.9	2.05
	3.51	3.2	2.12
	3.85	2.9	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (2.65)	2.94 ↓ (2.95)	2.06 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
24.4%

Draw
31.1%

Santa Cruz Recife
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

30.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Central SC's form might have worsened.

Santa Cruz Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Cruz Recife's recent form is better than expected.

Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Santa Cruz (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santa Cruz (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Geovany Soares ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Thiaguinho ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Kaue ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central PE won 0.

Santa Cruz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central PE may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Central PE won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 8:28. (average 0.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Central PE won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Central SC	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Central SC - América RN	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sousa - Central SC	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
22.02.25	Central SC - Retrô Brasil	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WLTWW
- Santa Cruz Recife
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.25	Santa Cruz Recife - América RN	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Horizonte	4:0 ✺
20.04.25	Treze - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - ABC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
16.02.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	2:1
02.03.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	1:0
24.02.24	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1
25.03.23	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	3:1
03.03.21	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1
16.02.20	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0
14.03.19	Santa Cruz Recife - Central SC	1:0

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