Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday


	Central SC		Horizonte

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.52	3.6	6.2
	1.49	3.5	6.36
	1.53	3.53	6.67	Watch
	1.49	3.54	6.88
	1.52	3.6	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.66)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	6.34 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central SC
60.2%

Draw
25.5%

Horizonte
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

26.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central SC's performance.

Horizonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central SC than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Central SC - Horizonte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Silva L. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 8).

Recent performances by Central PE have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Horizonte has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Central PE is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central SC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Central SC - Santa Cruz Recife	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - Central SC	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Central SC - América RN	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Sousa - Central SC	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Central SC - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLTW
- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Horizonte - Sousa	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Horizonte - Treze	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Horizonte	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Santa Cruz Recife - Horizonte	4:0 ✺
19.04.25	Horizonte - América RN	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLLT

Central SC - Horizonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide