Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 8

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Harkam A. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Horn		Amstetten

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.95	3.75	2.15
	3.03	3.92	2.17
	3.05	3.81	2.11	Watch
	3	3.74	2.15	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.61)	3.75 ↓ (3.79)	2.16 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
31.6%

Draw
25%

Amstetten
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24.8%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

24.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Amstetten has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horn than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amstetten than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Horn - Amstetten Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Horn will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Amstetten will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horn: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hotop M. (G) 42. Aliji E. 27. Velimirovic D. 13. Syhre A. 5. Marceta D. 11. Lipczinski P. 8. Fischerauer F. 46. Wimhofer L. 10. Abdijanovic A. 28. Barlov D. 18. Bauernfeind K.	1. Gremsl A. (G) 2. Kochl F. 5. Oberleitner Y. 22. Gruber T. 24. Hausberger M. 10. Yilmaz B. 18. Wimmer S. 42. Wanner J. 7. Weixelbraun D. 9. Herrmann C. 16. Mayer T.
Substitutes
9. Coco L. 7. Ismailcebioglu H. 14. Karch P. 30. Liu S. (G) 31. Metu E. 23. Milosavljevic M. 21. Velecky D.	12. Deinhofer L. 20. Grubhofer M. 77. Kadlec M. 92. Leimhofer S. 13. Neudhart S. (G) 41. Ozturk T. 19. Palzer F.
Coaches
Riederer P.	Enengl P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Abdijanovic A. ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Barlov D. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Herrmann C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hausberger M. ↓, Deinhofer L. ↑,
52', Gruber T. 🟨,
60', 2 - 2, Mayer T. ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, Fischerauer F. ⚽,
67', Marceta D. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
67', Velimirovic D. ↓, Coco L. ↑,
67', Barlov D. ↓, Metu E. ↑,
71', 3 - 3, Oberleitner Y. ⚽,
73', Deinhofer L. 🟨,
79', Fischerauer F. 🟨,
81', Mayer T. ↓, Kadlec M. ↑,
87', Herrmann C. ↓, Grubhofer M. ↑,
88', Weixelbraun D. 🟨,
90+2', Abdijanovic A. ↓, Karch P. ↑,
90+3', Kochl F. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horn won 3.

Recent matches Horn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amstetten is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Horn won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian 2 Liga
22.09.24	Liefering - Horn	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Horn	3:3 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
31.08.24	Stripfing - Horn	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
23.08.24	Horn - Austria Lustenau	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTLWL
- SKU Amstetten
Austrian 2 Liga
22.09.24	Amstetten - Ried	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Amstetten - Bregenz	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:1 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
23.08.24	Amstetten - Sturm Graz B	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	St. Pölten - Amstetten	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:1
Austrian 2 Liga
20.05.24	Amstetten - Horn	1:1
10.11.23	Horn - Amstetten	3:1
04.06.23	Amstetten - Horn	2:2
06.11.22	Horn - Amstetten	2:1
22.04.22	Amstetten - Horn	0:0
16.10.21	Horn - Amstetten	0:3

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