Match Info

AUSTRIA: OFB Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Hameter M. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF 1, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Horn		Austria Wien

	1	X	2
	13	7.5	1.17	Watch
	11.5	7	1.16
	15	7.5	1.15	Watch
	13.12	7.1	1.18
	12.56	7.18	1.18	Watch
	15	7	1.11
	14	7.6	1.16	Watch
	15	7.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.65 ↑ (7.55)	7.3 ↑ (4.6)	1.16 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
6.8%

Draw
12.8%

Austria Wien
80.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.1%

19.9%

67.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

19.1%

70.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horn's form might have worsened.

Austria Wien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Austria Wien's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horn than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austria Wien than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Austria Wien, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	11.1%	66.7%

Horn - Austria Wien Predictions

Users Predictions: Austria Wien will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Liu S. (G) 4. Gobara P. 31. Metu E. 13. Syhre A. 46. Wimhofer L. 28. Barlov D. 18. Bauernfeind K. 21. Velecky D. 11. Lipczinski P. 10. Abdijanovic A. 14. Karch P.	99. Kos M. (G) 3. Lucas Galvao 24. Plavotic T. 15. Dragovic A. 18. Perez Vinlof M. 6. Maybach P. 5. Barry A. 26. Ranftl R. 36. Fitz D. 29. Raguz M. 11. Prelec N.
Substitutes
42. Aliji E. 20. Hinterleitner J. 1. Hotop M. (G) 7. Ismailcebioglu H. 5. Marceta D. 23. Milosavljevic M. 27. Velimirovic D.	30. Fischer M. 17. Gruber A. 77. Malone M. 66. Martins M. 40. Meisl M. 19. Potzmann M. 1. Sahin-Radlinger S. (G)
Coaches
Riederer P.	Helm S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Lucas Galvao 🟨,
27', Barry A. 🟨,
27', Raguz M. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Ranftl R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Raguz M. ↓, Gruber A. ↑,
46', Barry A. ↓, Fischer M. ↑,
46', Karch P. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
47', Fischer M. 🟨,
50', Maybach P. 🟨,
53', Ismailcebioglu H. 🟨,
53', Maybach P. ↓, Potzmann M. ↑,
67', Bauernfeind K. ↓, Aliji E. ↑,
67', Velecky D. ↓, Velimirovic D. ↑,
74', Prelec N. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
82', Lipczinski P. ↓, Hinterleitner J. ↑,
85', Hinterleitner J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horn won 1.

Horn has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Austria is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Austria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Austria is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Horn won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:25 (average 0.6:3.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian 2 Liga
27.10.24	Horn - St. Pölten	2:4 ✺
18.10.24	Horn - Sturm Graz B	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Rapid Wien - Horn	2:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
04.10.24	Bregenz - Horn	3:1 ✺
01.10.24	Horn - First Vienna	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Austria Wien
Austrian Bundesliga
26.10.24	Austria Wien - Swarovski Tirol	3:0 ✺
20.10.24	Austria Klagenfurt - Austria Wien	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
11.10.24	Admira - Austria Wien	0:3 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
05.10.24	Austria Wien - Grazer AK	2:1 ✺
28.09.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Austria Wien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
08.07.23	Austria Wien - Horn	5:1
18.01.21	Austria Wien - Horn	8:0
15.11.19	Horn - Austria Wien	2:7
13.01.17	Austria Wien - Horn	0:1
27.01.16	Austria Wien - Horn	1:0
05.02.15	Austria Wien - Horn	0:0
15.01.13	Austria Wien - Horn	4:0

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