Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 6

Date: 1 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Leitner F. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Horn		First Vienna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.2
	2.95	3.6	2.2
	2.95	3.69	2.27
	2.94	3.58	2.24	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.38)	3.6 ↓ (3.62)	2.22 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
32%

Draw
26%

First Vienna
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.9%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

24.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

First Vienna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horn than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for First Vienna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Horn - First Vienna Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Horn will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). First Vienna will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Horn: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hotop M. (G) 42. Aliji E. 27. Velimirovic D. 13. Syhre A. 4. Gobara P. 11. Lipczinski P. 8. Fischerauer F. (C) 46. Wimhofer L. 10. Abdijanovic A. 28. Barlov D. 18. Bauernfeind K.	1. Unger B. (G) 5. Steiner N. 13. Omerovic A. 25. Bauer J. 36. Nnamdi K. 66. Ungar D. 6. Sanogo M. 8. Luxbacher B. (C) 21. Diomande G. 7. Monschein C. 14. Boateng K.
Substitutes
9. Coco L. 7. Ismailcebioglu H. 14. Karch P. 30. Liu S. (G) 5. Marceta D. 31. Metu E. 21. Velecky D.	77. Edelhofer L. 41. Giuliani C. (G) 10. Ochs P. 16. Schmidt P. 28. Stratznig K. 34. Titkov D. 32. Zahirovic H.
Coaches
Riederer P.	Sutcu M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Abdijanovic A. (Pen),
19', 2 - 0, Bauernfeind K. ⚽,
23', Velimirovic D. 🟨,
27', Ungar D. ↓, Stratznig K. ↑,
38', 2 - 1, Diomande G. ⚽, Nnamdi K. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Luxbacher B. ⚽, Nnamdi K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Boateng K. ↓, Edelhofer L. ↑,
46', 3 - 2, Fischerauer F. ⚽, Bauernfeind K. (A),
50', Nnamdi K. 🟨,
51', 3 - 3, Edelhofer L. ⚽,
55', Velimirovic D. ↓, Velecky D. ↑,
55', 3 - 4, Monschein C. ⚽,
63', Omerovic A. 🟨,
67', Monschein C. ↓, Ochs P. ↑,
69', Barlov D. ↓, Ismailcebioglu H. ↑,
69', Lipczinski P. ↓, Metu E. ↑,
69', Aliji E. ↓, Marceta D. ↑,
70', Diomande G. 🟨,
83', Wimhofer L. ↓, Karch P. ↑,
84', Diomande G. ↓, Zahirovic H. ↑,
88', Syhre A. 🟨,
90', 3 - 5, Zahirovic H. ⚽, Edelhofer L. (A),
90+1', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 6, Luxbacher B. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horn won 2.

Recent matches Horn is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

First Vienna is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Horn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently First Vienna have a series of home games.

First Vienna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Horn won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22-23.

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Austrian 2 Liga
27.09.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Liefering - Horn	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Horn	3:3 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
31.08.24	Stripfing - Horn	3:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWTLW
- First Vienna FC
Austrian 2 Liga
27.09.24	Bregenz - First Vienna	3:2 ✺
20.09.24	First Vienna - Rapid Wien II	3:1 ✺
30.08.24	First Vienna - St. Pölten	2:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
27.08.24	First Vienna - Stripfing	0:3 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
23.08.24	First Vienna - Floridsdorfer AC	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
08.03.24	First Vienna - Horn	1:2
Club Friendly
07.09.23	First Vienna - Horn	4:3
Austrian 2 Liga
18.08.23	Horn - First Vienna	2:0
28.04.23	First Vienna - Horn	0:0
16.09.22	Horn - First Vienna	0:3
Austrian Regionalliga East
09.09.17	First Vienna - Horn	0:1
18.03.16	Horn - First Vienna	2:0

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