Match Info

AUSTRIA: 2. Liga - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Sparkasse Horn Arena (Horn)

Referee: Pfister D. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1, ORF Sport+, ORF TVthek
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, LAOLA1


	Horn		Sturm Graz B

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.3
	2.7	3.75	2.3
	2.71	3.82	2.38
	2.68	3.76	2.34	Watch
	2.67	3.8	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.08)	3.73 ↑ (3.68)	2.32 ↓ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horn
34.8%

Draw
25%

Sturm Graz B
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

26.5%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horn's form might have worsened.

Sturm Graz B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sturm Graz B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horn than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz B than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sturm Graz B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	41.7%	50%

Horn - Sturm Graz B Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Horn will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Sturm B will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm B: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hotop M. (G) 10. Abdijanovic A. 18. Bauernfeind K. 8. Fischerauer F. 4. Gobara P. 7. Ismailcebioglu H. 11. Lipczinski P. 23. Milosavljevic M. 13. Syhre A. 27. Velimirovic D. 46. Wimhofer L.	40. Bignetti M. (G) 22. Grgic L. 6. Haider G. 43. Hodl J. 8. Kern M. 9. Kiedl P. 30. Mustafic S. 11. Sarkaria M. 4. Schopp K. 18. Sorg O. 37. Stosic N.
Substitutes
42. Aliji E. 28. Barlov D. 9. Coco L. 14. Karch P. 30. Liu S. (G) 5. Marceta D. 31. Metu E.	20. Afrifa L. 14. Beganovic B. 10. Ilic A. 17. Locker J. 41. Lorenz E. (G) 27. Pirker S. 13. Wolf J.
Coaches
Riederer P.	Saumel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Sarkaria M. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Lipczinski P. ⚽,
33', Sorg O. 🟨,
37', Fischerauer F. ↓, Barlov D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Wimhofer L. 🟨,
51', Haider G. 🟨,
54', 1 - 2, Grgic L. ⚽,
61', Sarkaria M. ↓, Ilic A. ↑,
61', Kiedl P. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
61', Wimhofer L. ↓, Aliji E. ↑,
61', Milosavljevic M. ↓, Marceta D. ↑,
65', Mustafic S. 🟨,
74', Kern M. ↓, Afrifa L. ↑,
76', Gobara P. 🟨,
77', Ismailcebioglu H. ↓, Coco L. ↑,
77', Coco L. 🟨,
81', Hodl J. 🟨,
82', Aliji E. 🟨,
85', Schopp K. 🟨,
88', Velimirovic D. 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Barlov D. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 9).

Horn is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sturm Graz B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Sturm Graz B: Borkovic A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sturm Graz B: Sarkaria M. (Ankle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Horn won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:5 (average 2.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Horn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horn
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Rapid Wien - Horn	2:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
04.10.24	Bregenz - Horn	3:1 ✺
01.10.24	Horn - First Vienna	3:6 ✺
27.09.24	Horn - Amstetten	3:3 ✺
22.09.24	Liefering - Horn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLLTW
- Sturm Graz B
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Sturm Graz B - Floridsdorfer AC	4:2 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
04.10.24	First Vienna - Sturm Graz B	2:4 ✺
28.09.24	Sturm Graz B - ASK Voitsberg	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Sturm Graz B - Stripfing	3:0 ✺
21.09.24	Austria Lustenau - Sturm Graz B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Austrian 2 Liga
14.04.24	Sturm Graz B - Horn	2:1
24.09.23	Horn - Sturm Graz B	4:0
16.04.23	Sturm Graz B - Horn	2:2
22.07.22	Horn - Sturm Graz B	2:1

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