Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday


	Hornchurch		Barnet

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.55
	5.03	4.26	1.5
	4.73	4.4	1.54
	4.99	4.3	1.51	Watch
	4.4	4.3	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (3.64)	4.32 ↑ (3.98)	1.54 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hornchurch
19.1%

Draw
21.3%

Barnet
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

23.1%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

22.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hornchurch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hornchurch's form might have worsened.

Barnet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barnet's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hornchurch than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hornchurch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barnet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hornchurch - Barnet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Hornchurch is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Barnet is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barnet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Hornchurch have a series of home games.

Recently Barnet have a series of guest games.

In this match Barnet is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Hornchurch
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Dulwich Hamlet - Hornchurch	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Hornchurch - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
16.07.24	Hornchurch - Sutton United	0:3 ✺
13.07.24	Hornchurch - Bromley	1:5 ✺
09.07.24	Hornchurch - Leyton Orient	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLLL
- Barnet
Club Friendly
22.07.24	Chelmsford City - Barnet	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
16.07.24	Chesham United - Barnet	0:2 ✺
12.07.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet	1:2 ✺
08.07.24	Hitchin Town - Barnet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWWWW

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