Match Info

League Two - Round 39

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadium MK (Milton Keynes)

Referee: Baines D. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Milton Keynes Dons		Barnet

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.5	4.33
	1.9	3.5	3.9
	1.82	3.55	4.15
	1.85	3.62	4.38
	1.85	3.56	4.04	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.82	3.52	4.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.93)	3.51 ↑ (3.47)	4.14 ↑ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Milton Keynes Dons
50.9%

Draw
26.6%

Barnet
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

26.6%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

25.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milton Keynes Dons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milton Keynes Dons than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. MK Dons (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Milton Keynes Dons will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. MacGillivray C. (G) 21. Ekpiteta M. 32. Sanders J. 15. Offord L. 6. Kelly L. 8. Gilbey A. (C) 16. Nemane A. 26. Wiles B. 24. Lemonheigh-Evans C. 22. Mellish J. 29. Hepburn-Murphy R.	29. Slicker C. (G) 5. Senior A. 4. Collinge D. (C) 25. Tavares N. 24. Crichlow-Noble R. 19. Shelton M. 28. Ofoborh N. 15. Glover R. 10. Stead C. 11. Kanu I. 20. Tshimanga K.
Substitutes
10. Collins A. 7. Crowley D. 9. Hogan S. 2. Jones G. 17. Leko J. 14. Tomlinson J. 27. Trueman C. (G)	22. Chinedu P. 13. Evans O. (G) 18. Hartigan A. 12. Hawkins O. 17. Howland J. 7. Jaiyesimi D. 30. Kizzi J.
Coaches
Warne P.	Brennan D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Mellish J. ⚽,
12', Kanu I. 🟨,
36', Lemonheigh-Evans C. ↓, Collins A. ↑,
45', Crichlow-Noble R. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Collinge D. ⚽, Shelton M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 2, Tshimanga K. ⚽, Glover R. (A),
57', 1 - 3, Kanu I. ⚽,
62', Hepburn-Murphy R. (Penalty Awarded),
70', Ekpiteta M. ↓, Hogan S. ↑,
70', Nemane A. ↓, Jones G. ↑,
74', Sanders J. ↓, Tomlinson J. ↑,
87', Crichlow-Noble R. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
90+1', Jones G. 🟨,
90+2', Tshimanga K. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
90+9', Kanu I. ↓, Chinedu P. ↑,
90+9', Glover R. ↓, Hartigan A. ↑,
90+9', Stead C. ↓, Jaiyesimi D. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 2.

MK Dons has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barnet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

MK Dons may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, MK Dons is considered a favorite.

There will not play in MK Dons: Wilson K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in MK Dons: Collar W. (Inactive) Maguire L. (Inactive) Matete J. (Inactive) Mendez-Laing N. (Inactive) Paterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E. (Inactive) Smith K. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, MK Dons won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, MK Dons won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Barnet: 21.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Barnet	8	5	3	0	20:11	9	18

Last Results with these Odds

Milton Keynes Dons - the odds 1.93 are the expected chance of winning is 47.74%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milton Keynes Dons
English League Two
18.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Swindon Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Gillingham - Milton Keynes Dons	1:5 ✺
07.03.26	Milton Keynes Dons - Harrogate Town	4:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cambridge United - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWT
- Barnet
English League Two
17.03.26	Crawley Town - Barnet	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Barnet - Newport County	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Salford City - Barnet	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Barnet - Chesterfield	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Barnet	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
08.11.25	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	2:2
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Barnet	1:2
15.07.23	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	1:1
23.07.22	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	1:3
English FA Cup
29.11.20	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	0:1
Club Friendly
25.07.15	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	3:1
27.07.13	Barnet - Milton Keynes Dons	1:4

Upcoming Matches