Match Info

Superliga - Round 5

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Hybel Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Tykgaard M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Horsens		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	3.50	3.30	2.01	Watch
	3.50	3.25	2.10
	3.20	3.35	2.16
	3.56	3.42	2.18
	3.18	3.41	2.25	Watch
	3.60	3.40	2.10
	3.77	3.38	2.04	Watch
	3.45	3.35	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.56)	3.36 ↓ (3.43)	2.12 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
27.2%

Draw
28.2%

Lyngby BK
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

26.9%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horsens's form might have worsened.

Lyngby BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lyngby BK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lyngby BK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Horsens - Lyngby BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lyngby will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Horsens (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 35. Kupijbida M. 24. Kolskogen O. 28. Saine A. 16. Moro A. 20. Lusavec K. 27. Ouorou Y. 14. Madsen J. 10. Kirkegaard K. 11. Ehibhatiomhan K.	31. Kochen D. (G) 2. Buur O. 30. Fischer M. 24. Garananga M. 25. Tytens R. 19. Fraulo G. 13. Dani (C) 18. Thomasen J. 14. Sandgrav L. 10. Thorvaldsson I. 7. Colyn S.
Substitutes
22. Batigi J. 30. Doua S. 17. Herdonsson A. 31. Hoff A. (G) 15. Justinussen A. 18. Korkko J. 39. Mandrup O. 7. Milicevic I. 19. Tauriainen J.	1. Aegidius J. (G) 4. Allen C. 12. Aronsson D. 16. Bondergaard A. 26. Gytkjaer F. 8. Hebo M. 5. Hojer O. 20. Kaarsbo M. 6. Kristjansson D. F.
Coaches
Zimling N.	Jespersen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Saine A. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Ehibhatiomhan K. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
34', Ehibhatiomhan K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tytens R. ↓, Kristjansson D. F. ↑,
46', Thomasen J. ↓, Hojer O. ↑,
55', Moro A. ↓, Herdonsson A. ↑,
55', Ehibhatiomhan K. ↓, Korkko J. ↑,
59', Kirkegaard K. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Thorvaldsson I. ⚽, Colyn S. (A),
70', Kupijbida M. 🟨,
72', Thorvaldsson I. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Fraulo G. 🟨,
74', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Justinussen A. ↑,
74', Ouorou Y. ↓, Tauriainen J. ↑,
76', Fraulo G. ↓, Gytkjaer F. ↑,
79', Dani 🟨,
81', Buur O. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
89', Allen C. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Justinussen A. ⚽,
90+2', Colyn S. ↓, Bondergaard A. ↑,
90+3', Madsen J. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 2.

Recent form of Horsens has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Lyngby has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Horsens: Vestergaard C. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Lyngby: Snorre O. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:24. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Horsens: 0.48% Lyngby: 0.31%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Horsens	9	3	2	4	15:16	-1	11
10	Lyngby	9	1	4	4	10:16	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	OB Odense - Horsens	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Horsens - Brøndby	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Midtjylland - Horsens	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Horsens - Nordsjælland	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Vendsyssel - Horsens	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLLTL
- Lyngby BK
Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
09.08.26	Randers FC - Lyngby BK	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Lyngby BK - AGF Aarhus	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Copenhagen - Lyngby BK	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Hillerød - Lyngby BK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
25.05.26	Lyngby BK - Horsens	0:2
04.04.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:0
09.03.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:3
23.08.25	Lyngby BK - Horsens	0:0
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Lyngby BK - Horsens	1:0
Danish Superliga
03.06.23	Horsens - Lyngby BK	0:0
16.04.23	Lyngby BK - Horsens	2:1

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