Match Info

DENMARK: SUPERLIGA - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 26

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: CASA Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Graagaard L. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Canal 9


	Horsens		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.8	1.83	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.77
	4.1	3.8	1.83
	4.23	3.84	1.85
				Watch
	3.98	3.82	1.85	Watch
	4.1	3.75	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.12 ↑ (3.95)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
23%

Draw
25%

Midtjylland
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

25.8%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

25.3%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	21.4%	78.6%

Horsens - Midtjylland Predictions

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Horsens has the most likely position - 10 (55.37%), project points - 33, currently - 26, a chance of relegated (31%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), not chance of win league.

Midtjylland has the most likely position - 7 (75.67%), project points - 48, currently - 35, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 36, small importance 25, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsens won 1.

Horsens is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Midtjylland is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Horsens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Midtjylland is a favorite.

Last 24 head-to-head matches Horsens won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 17 matches and goals 25-58.

Including matches at home between the teams Horsens won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-25.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish Superliga
16.04.23	Lyngby BK - Horsens	2:1 ✺
11.04.23	Silkeborg IF - Horsens	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	0:4 ✺
19.03.23	Lyngby BK - Horsens	1:1 ✺
12.03.23	Horsens - Copenhagen	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLTL
- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
14.04.23	Midtjylland - Aalborg BK	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	1:0 ✺
31.03.23	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:3 ✺
19.03.23	Silkeborg IF - Midtjylland	3:3 ✺
12.03.23	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
16.10.22	Midtjylland - Horsens	2:1
12.08.22	Horsens - Midtjylland	3:3
14.02.21	Midtjylland - Horsens	1:0
04.10.20	Horsens - Midtjylland	2:2
01.06.20	Midtjylland - Horsens	0:1
11.08.19	Horsens - Midtjylland	0:2
16.12.18	Horsens - Midtjylland	1:3

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