Match Info

1st Division - Round 18

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Nordstern Arena Horsens (Horsens)

Referee: Kobberrod J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Horsens		Aalborg BK

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	3.05	Watch
	2.18	3.45	3.1	Watch
	2.25	3.55	3.22
	1.98	3.65	3.42	Watch
	2.2	3.34	3.14	Watch
	2.14	3.33	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.15)	3.45 ↑ (3.36)	3.17 ↑ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsens
43.5%

Draw
27.1%

Aalborg BK
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

27.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

26.7%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Aalborg BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg BK than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	53.3%	13.3%

Horsens - Aalborg BK Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Horsens (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Delac M. (G) 4. Hausner S. 26. Palsson V. 12. Tape C. 5. Bruus A. 29. Brandhof F. 32. Olsen P. 14. Madsen J. 17. Herdonsson A. 9. Baturina R. 10. Kirkegaard K.	1. Muller V. (G) 2. Kallesoe M. 4. Tiedemann B. (C) 24. Arnorsson N. 33. Makolli E. 21. Bomholt M. 26. Bonde M. 8. Hapnes A. 27. John K. 9. Helenius N. 28. Moller V.
Substitutes
24. Kolskogen O. 33. Ludwig A. 20. Lusavec K. 7. Milicevic I. 27. Ouorou Y. 11. Pingel S. 28. Saine A. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)	3. Andersson A. 25. Borsting F. 40. Gronkjaer B. (G) 17. Jasson A. 23. Kaasa M. 18. Maarup A. 5. Nielsen M. 15. Olsson C. 10. Ross O.
Coaches
Nielsen D.	Hojer S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Hapnes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Madsen J. 🟨,
65', Kirkegaard K. 🟨,
67', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
67', Bruus A. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
67', Hapnes A. ↓, Borsting F. ↑,
72', Arnorsson N. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
78', Kallesoe M. 🟨,
79', Moller V. ↓, Ross O. ↑,
79', Kallesoe M. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
80', Baturina R. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
80', Hausner S. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
90+2', Herdonsson A. ↓, Sene F. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Horsens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Horsens might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 15:37. (average 0.8:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:21. (average 0.8:2.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Horsens - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.86%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
23.11.25	Horsens - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Kolding IF - Horsens	1:3 ✺
31.10.25	Horsens - HB Køge	2:3 ✺
24.10.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Horsens	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Middelfart - Horsens	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW
- Aalborg BK
Danish 1 Division
22.11.25	Aalborg BK - Kolding IF	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Hvidovre - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Aalborg BK - Lyngby BK	3:2 ✺
17.10.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Aalborg BK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
15.08.25	Aalborg BK - Horsens	0:2
06.10.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	1:4
29.07.23	Aalborg BK - Horsens	1:0
Danish Superliga
07.05.23	Aalborg BK - Horsens	4:0
02.04.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	0:4
Club Friendly
20.01.23	Horsens - Aalborg BK	2:2
Danish Superliga
10.10.22	Horsens - Aalborg BK	0:0

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