The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Horsens 28.7%
Draw 26.7%
Silkeborg IF 44.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35%
27.3%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
27%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Horsens's form might have worsened.
Silkeborg IF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Silkeborg IF's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Silkeborg IF than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Silkeborg IF, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
11.1%
22.2%
66.7%
Horsens - Silkeborg IF Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Horsens will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Silkeborg will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Silkeborg: 35.9% – 97.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Horsens has the most likely position - 11 (42.43%), project points - 30, currently - 27, a good chance of relegated (73%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
Silkeborg has the most likely position - 9 (91.08%), project points - 38, currently - 34, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
This event has small quality30, importance34, match rating32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Horsens won 3.
Horsens has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Silkeborg is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Silkeborg will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Horsens: Makienok S.
(Injury)
There will not play in Silkeborg: Dahl G.
(Concussion)
Felix J.
(Injury)
Kaalund M.
(Injury)
Last 26 head-to-head matches Horsens won 12 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 38-31.
Including matches at home between the teams Horsens won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21-19.