Match Info

National League South - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: The Fusion Aviation Community Stadium (Horsham)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Horsham		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.20	2.50
	2.43	3.20	2.55
	2.67	3.49	2.53
	2.56	3.48	2.55	Watch
	2.60	3.40	2.50
	2.53	3.24	2.46
	2.44	3.25	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.61)	3.32 ↓ (3.52)	2.53 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Horsham
36.3%

Draw
27.5%

Dagenham & Redbridge
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

25.9%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

26.2%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Horsham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Meekums R. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Sparks H. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Recent performances by Horsham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dagenham is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Horsham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Horsham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Horsham won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 1.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dag & Red	10	6	1	3	10:7	3	19
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Horsham FC
English National League South
29.08.26	Horsham - Farnham Town	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Braintree Town - Horsham	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Horsham - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Horsham - Salisbury	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Worthing - Horsham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWTL
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
31.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Slough Town	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Walton & Hersham - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnham Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
10.02.26	Horsham - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:1
21.10.25	Dagenham & Redbridge - Horsham	1:2

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