Match Info

National League South - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Truro Sports Hub (Truro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
Japan	DAZN Japan
Paraguay	DAZN
Sweden	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Truro City		Dagenham & Redbridge

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.28	3.15	2.80
	2.28	3.55	3.02
	2.22	3.56	2.96	Watch
	2.20	3.50	2.90
	2.17	3.51	3.10
	2.22	3.20	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.34)	3.38 ↓ (3.45)	2.93 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Truro City
41.4%

Draw
27.2%

Dagenham & Redbridge
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

26.9%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

26%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Dagenham & Redbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dagenham & Redbridge than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Riley-Lowe C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 0, Riley-Lowe C. ⚽,
57', Hawkins H. 🟥,
85', 3 - 0, Bogle O. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Dagenham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dagenham has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Truro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Truro: 6.51%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Dag & Red	10	6	1	3	10:7	3	19
4	Truro	10	5	3	2	15:7	8	18

Last Results with these Odds

Truro City - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 39.68%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Dagenham & Redbridge - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 33.4%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Truro City
English National League South
22.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
18.08.26	Truro City - Southampton U21	2:1 ✺
English National League South
15.08.26	Chelmsford City - Truro City	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Truro City - Maidenhead United	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Taunton Town - Truro City	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTW?
- Dagenham & Redbridge
English National League South
22.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Torquay United	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Walton & Hersham - Dagenham & Redbridge	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Farnham Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Boreham Wood	1:2 ✺
25.07.26	Dagenham & Redbridge - Buxton	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
19.12.21	Truro City - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:2 penalties

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