Match Info

National League South - Round 43

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Farnborough		Horsham

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.45	2.68
	2.4	3.6	2.71
	2.39	3.61	2.68	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.33	3.38	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.43)	3.47 ↓ (3.53)	2.68 ↑ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farnborough
39.2%

Draw
26.5%

Horsham
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

26.3%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

25.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farnborough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Horsham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Farnborough than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsham than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Farnborough - Horsham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Bloomfield M. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Bloomfield M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Farnborough may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Farnborough has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Farnborough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Outrights of English National League South for now

Horsham FC: 1.91% Farnborough: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Horsham FC	9	2	5	2	9:10	-1	11
18	Farnborough	9	3	2	4	8:13	-5	11

Last Results with these Odds

Farnborough - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.23%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.

Horsham - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.46%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Farnborough
English National League South
03.04.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Farnborough	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Farnborough - Hornchurch	2:2 ✺
25.03.26	Farnborough - Chelmsford City	4:2 ✺
21.03.26	Farnborough - Slough Town	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Farnborough - Dagenham & Redbridge	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWWL
- Horsham FC
English National League South
03.04.26	Horsham - Dorking Wanderers	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Torquay United - Horsham	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Horsham	2:0 ✺
17.03.26	Horsham - Bath City	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Horsham - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
30.12.25	Horsham - Farnborough	2:2

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