Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 3 October 2025, Friday

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX)

Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 1
Australia	Stan Sport
Nigeria	SupeSport ESPN 1
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN
Usa	NSWL+, NWSL+ app


	Houston Dash		Orlando Pride

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.3	2
	3.05	3.5	2
	3.12	3.8	2.04
	3.18	3.62	2.06	Watch
	3.18	3.45	2.02	Watch
	3.1	3.55	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	3.54 ↓ (3.9)	2.02 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dash
29.2%

Draw
25.8%

Orlando Pride
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

23.4%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

22.8%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Orlando Pride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Houston Dash - Orlando Pride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Smith A. (G) 15. Patterson A. 10. Berkely M. 14. Nielsen P. K. (C) 22. Alozie M. 12. van Zanten K. 24. Colaprico D. 17. Puntigam S. 11. Ryan Y. 6. Bright M. 8. Sheehan D.	1. Moorhouse A. (G) 21. Hernandez O. 6. Sams E. 4. Rafaelle Souza 25. Abello K. 30. Lemos A. 15. Angelina 2. McCutcheon H. (C) 13. Ovalle L. 11. Watt A. 19. Pickett C.
Substitutes
3. Beardsley E. (G) 27. Boattin L. 2. Chapman A. 7. Duljan E. 21. Gareis R. 42. Heilferty A. 9. Larisey C. 25. Lind K. 20. Westphal C.	27. Bennett E. 18. Charley S. 34. Chavoshi Z. 40. Crone M. (G) 20. Doyle J. 12. Dyke C. 35. Jackson S. 8. Luana Bertolucci 14. Villacorta V.
Coaches
Gautrat F.	Hines S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Abello K. 🟨,
62', 1 - 0, Berkely M. ⚽, Patterson A. (A),
64', Bright M. ↓, Larisey C. ↑,
68', Hernandez O. ↓, Dyke C. ↑,
68', Pickett C. ↓, Charley S. ↑,
78', Sheehan D. ↓, Boattin L. ↑,
78', Patterson A. ↓, Chapman A. ↑,
81', Larisey C. 🟨,
85', 1 - 1, Charley S. ⚽,
86', Alozie M. ↓, Heilferty A. ↑,
86', van Zanten K. ↓, Gareis R. ↑,
90+1', Rafaelle Souza 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dash won 1.

Houston Dash has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Orlando Pride has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Houston Dash may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Houston Dash has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston Dash won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Houston Dash won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dash
NWSL
28.09.25	Washington Spirit - Houston Dash	4:0 ✺
19.09.25	Houston Dash - Chicago Stars	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Utah Royals - Houston Dash	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	San Diego Wave - Houston Dash	0:3 ✺
29.08.25	Racing Louisville - Houston Dash	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LWLWT
- Orlando Pride
CONCACAF Champions Cup Women
30.09.25	Club America - Orlando Pride	2:0 ✺
NWSL
26.09.25	San Diego Wave - Orlando Pride	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Orlando Pride - North Carolina Courage	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Orlando Pride - Bay FC	1:1 ✺
07.09.25	Chicago Stars - Orlando Pride	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
07.06.25	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	1:0
28.09.24	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	3:1
23.08.24	Houston Dash - Orlando Pride	0:1
15.10.23	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	1:0
03.06.23	Houston Dash - Orlando Pride	2:0
08.07.22	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	1:0
03.06.22	Houston Dash - Orlando Pride	5:0

Houston Dash - Orlando Pride: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide