Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, TX) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Metz J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	10:00	Stan Sport
United Kingdom	00:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 3
International	23:00	NWSL+


	Houston Dash		Washington Spirit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.70	3.60	1.75
	3.75	3.5	1.75
	3.91	3.81	1.79
	3.88	4	1.78	Watch
	3.8	3.7	1.71
	4.01	4.04	1.81	Watch
	3.8	3.65	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.54)	3.76 ↑ (3.61)	1.77 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houston Dash
23.8%

Draw
24.3%

Washington Spirit
51.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.6%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houston Dash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Washington Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Spirit than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Houston Dash - Washington Spirit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Campbell J. (C) 15. Patterson A. 14. Nielsen P. K. 4. Klenke L. 27. Boattin L. 19. Graham M. 17. Puntigam S. 12. van Zanten K. 22. Rader K. 47. Ivanovic M. 23. Faasse K.	18. Sandy MacIver (G) 13. Di Guglielmo L. 9. Rudd T. 24. Morgan E. 14. Carle G. 12. Sullivan A. (C) 17. Hershfelt H. 33. Hatch A. 7. Bethi M. 2. Rodman T. 27. Cantore S.
Substitutes
8. Bain N. M. 99. Brewster J. 6. Bright M. 2. Chapman A. 40. Delisle C. (G) 18. Hardin C. 34. Harper K. 9. Larisey C. 13. Schmidt S.	35. Haugen M. 19. Kouassi R. 25. Luvanga C. 11. Martinez Ovando C. 26. Metayer P. 8. Ngock M. 16. Tamara Bolt 5. Tse E. 28. Wojdelko S. (G)
Coaches
Frias J.	Gonzalez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Rudd T. ⚽, Morgan E. (A),
44', 1 - 1, Ivanovic M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Faasse K. ↓, Schmidt S. ↑,
51', 1 - 2, Cantore S. ⚽, Rodman T. (A),
59', 2 - 2, Ivanovic M. ⚽,
60', van Zanten K. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
66', Bethi M. ↓, Luvanga C. ↑,
66', Cantore S. ↓, Kouassi R. ↑,
66', Hershfelt H. ↓, Ngock M. ↑,
70', Ivanovic M. ↓, Larisey C. ↑,
70', Puntigam S. ↓, Hardin C. ↑,
77', Hatch A. ↓, Martinez Ovando C. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Luvanga C. ⚽, Martinez Ovando C. (A),
85', Boattin L. ↓, Bright M. ↑,
86', Larisey C. 🟨,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 3rd in the Promotion - NWSL Women Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston Dash won 0.

Houston Dash is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Washington Spirit has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Recently, Houston Dash has faced a series of away games on the road.

Washington Spirit carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Houston Dash has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:28 (averaging 1.2:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Houston Dash against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, with 16:13 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Washington Spirit W ✔	29	16	4	9	41:28	13	52
12	Houston Dash W	29	9	6	14	38:42	-4	33

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Spirit - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 49.61%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Houston Dash
NWSL
26.09.26	Portland Thorns - Houston Dash	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Boston Legacy - Houston Dash	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Houston Dash - Utah Royals	0:1 ✺
06.09.26	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Seattle Reign - Houston Dash	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TWLLL
- Washington Spirit
NWSL
26.09.26	Washington Spirit - Angel City	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Chicago Stars - Washington Spirit	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Washington Spirit - Boston Legacy	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Portland Thorns - Washington Spirit	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Washington Spirit - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
03.07.26	Washington Spirit - Houston Dash	2:1
28.09.25	Washington Spirit - Houston Dash	4:0
14.03.25	Houston Dash - Washington Spirit	1:2
15.09.24	Washington Spirit - Houston Dash	3:0
12.04.24	Houston Dash - Washington Spirit	1:3
19.08.23	Houston Dash - Washington Spirit	1:1
22.04.23	Washington Spirit - Houston Dash	0:0

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