Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA) 🌤️ ...

Referee: May C. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Brazil	18:00	Disney+
Canada	17:00	TSN 2
Mexico	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
United Kingdom	22:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 2
Usa	17:00	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA
International	21:00	NWSL+


	Bay FC		Orlando Pride

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.4	2.75
	2.23	3.6	2.87
	2.24	3.7	2.83	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.26	3.67	2.83	Watch
	2.17	3.55	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.21)	3.57 ↑ (3.44)	2.81 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bay FC
41.7%

Draw
25.7%

Orlando Pride
32.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

26.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

27%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bay FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Orlando Pride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Bay FC - Orlando Pride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Silkowitz J. (G) 16. Collins S. (C) 2. Gilchrist H. 18. Anderson J. 31. Nighswonger J. 8. Hutton C. 41. Bebar H. 17. Pfeiffer A. 7. Huff T. 9. Kundananji R. 5. Lema K.	77. Morche C. (G) 21. Hernandez O. 12. Dyke C. 4. Rafaelle Souza 5. Mace H. 2. McCutcheon H. 7. Angelina 10. Marta (C) 8. Luana Bertolucci 29. Washington S. 11. Banda B.
Substitutes
27. Barry K. 21. Cometti A. 23. Conti C. 47. Fuller K. 10. Girelli C. 30. Holzheier A. 11. Hubly K. 1. Miller C. (G) 24. Moreau M.	25. Abello K. 41. Anderson H. 20. Doyle J. 22. Lekven S. 6. Lemos A. 31. Martin C. (G) 13. Ovalle L. 23. Payne N. 28. Yates S.
Coaches
Coates E.	Thomas Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, McCutcheon H. ⚽, Washington S. (A),
11', 1 - 1, Kundananji R. ⚽, Hutton C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, McCutcheon H. ⚽, Angelina (A),
62', Luana Bertolucci ↓, Lemos A. ↑,
62', Marta ↓, Ovalle L. ↑,
62', Hernandez O. ↓, Abello K. ↑,
68', Lema K. ↓, Holzheier A. ↑,
71', Rafaelle Souza ↓, Anderson H. ↑,
78', Washington S. ↓, Doyle J. ↑,
81', Huff T. ↓, Conti C. ↑,
81', Pfeiffer A. ↓, Barry K. ↑,
86', Holzheier A. 🟨,
87', Ovalle L. 🟨,
90+2', Bebar H. ↓, Fuller K. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 3, Ovalle L. ⚽, Banda B. (A),

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 13th and 12th).

Bay is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Orlando Pride has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Bay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Bay has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:7 (averaging 0.4:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bay against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Orlando Pride W	29	11	3	15	39:46	-7	36
14	Bay FC W	29	7	6	16	30:46	-16	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bay FC
NWSL
20.09.26	Bay FC - Racing Louisville	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Denver Summit - Bay FC	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Seattle Reign - Bay FC	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Bay FC - Kansas City Current	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Washington Spirit - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTLLL
- Orlando Pride
NWSL
19.09.26	Orlando Pride - Portland Thorns	1:4 ✺
11.09.26	Kansas City Current - Orlando Pride	2:2 ✺
06.09.26	Orlando Pride - Houston Dash	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Orlando Pride - Utah Royals	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Washington Spirit - Orlando Pride	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
29.05.26	Orlando Pride - Bay FC	3:1
13.09.25	Orlando Pride - Bay FC	1:1
13.06.25	Bay FC - Orlando Pride	0:1
20.09.24	Bay FC - Orlando Pride	0:1
11.05.24	Orlando Pride - Bay FC	1:0

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