Match Info

National Division 1 - VV - Round 23

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday


	Houtvenne		Tienen

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.2	3
	2.17	3.27	3.28
	2.13	3.32	3.16	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.12	3.62	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.09)	3.32 ↑ (3.24)	3.09 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Houtvenne
43%

Draw
27.4%

Tienen
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

27.9%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

27.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Houtvenne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tienen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Houtvenne than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tienen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Houtvenne - Tienen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 11).

Houtvenne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tienen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Tienen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Houtvenne could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Houtvenne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Houtvenne	6	5	0	1	17:8	9	15
9	Tienen	6	2	2	2	12:8	4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KFC Houtvenne
Belgian National Division 1 VV
21.02.26	Dessel Sport - Houtvenne	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Houtvenne - Knokke	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Houtvenne - Diegem Sport	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Belisia Bilzen - Houtvenne	1:4 ✺
24.01.26	Houtvenne - Thes Sport	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLTWL
- KVK Tienen
Belgian National Division 1 VV
21.02.26	Hasselt - Tienen	3:0 ✺
08.02.26	Leuven B - Tienen	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tienen - Ninove	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar - Tienen	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tienen - Cercle Brugge 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 VV
28.09.25	Tienen - Houtvenne	0:2

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