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Current Win Probability
Hradec Kralove B 54.3%
Draw 24.4%
Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22.7%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.7%
22%
14.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hradec Kralove B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hradec Kralove B's form might have worsened.
Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hradec Kralove B than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hradec Kralove B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hradec Kralove B - Jiskra Ústí nad Orlicí Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Novotny O. (G) 2. Baloun V. (C) 9. Binar A. 5. Blazek V. 7. Bonis T. 25. Fejgl T. 21. Hampl M. 19. Machala O. 15. Ponikelsky S. 27. Truhelka M. 16. Zalud P.
1. Lacombe B. (G) 19. Akumagoa K. 12. Cada D. 4. Chleboun P. 7. Hrncir T. 6. Hynek T. 11. Jarkovsky M. 8. Ralis D. 2. Silva L. 15. Soucek J. (C) 9. Taborsky M.
Substitutes
17. Kares T. 6. Metlicky D. 18. Safir L. 22. Sejkora D. 10. Simon V. 12. Svoboda O. (G) 13. Zeman J.
5. Afloe I. 18. Gazha O. 21. Hoffman F. 30. Hortlik M. (G) 10. Langr L. 20. Nesterenko R. 14. Tchanturia P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
37', Truhelka M. 🟨,
38', 0 - 1, Cada D. (Pen),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
63', Silva L. ↓, Hoffman F. ↑,
71', Ponikelsky S. ↓, Kares T. ↑,
71', Zalud P. ↓, Zeman J. ↑,
71', Hampl M. ↓, Simon V. ↑,
72', 🟨,
76', Soucek J. ↓, Langr L. ↑,
76', Hynek T. ↓, Gazha O. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Zeman J. ⚽,
84', 2 - 1, Zeman J. ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, Zeman J. ⚽,
90+1', Jarkovsky M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 12).
Hradec Kralove B is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ústí nad Orlicí is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Hradec Kralove B is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hradec Kralove B won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Hradec Kralove B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).