Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: FINEP Arena (Hradec Kralove) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stary D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	13:00	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 3
Slovakia	13:00	Voyo


	Hradec Králové		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.35	3.20	2.95
	2.23	3.25	3.20
	2.58	3.23	2.93
	2.46	3.04	3.04	Watch
	2.50	3.15	2.90
	2.45	3.39	2.86	Watch
	2.30	3.15	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.26)	3.21 ↑ (2.79)	2.92 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hradec Králové
38.9%

Draw
29.1%

Jablonec
32%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

33.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

32.2%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hradec Králové has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Jablonec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jablonec's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jablonec, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hradec Králové - Jablonec Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hradec Králové will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Jablonec will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jablonec (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zadrazil A. (G) 7. Uhrincat J. 4. Petrasek T. 25. Cech F. 2. Ludvicek D. 16. Darida V. (C) 11. Dancak S. 26. Horak D. 17. Mihalik O. 19. Sloncik T. 70. Cvancara T.	99. Mihelak K. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 57. Novak F. 20. Slama J. 25. Nebyla S. 13. Sedlacek R. 36. Kuol G. 8. Zorvan F. 7. Chanturishvili V. 9. Rusek A.
Substitutes
33. Abajas R. 30. Chvatal J. 3. Mielke F. 27. Trubac D. 24. Umar A. 20. Vagner M. (G) 9. Valenta M. 10. van Buren M. 1. Vizek P. (G)	16. Ahl H. 17. Alioum S. 19. Chramosta J. 1. Hanus J. (G) 24. Holly D. 22. Horak R. 6. Okeke N. 15. Pavlovic D. 21. Polidar M. 23. Sobol E. 14. Soucek D.
Coaches
Horejs D.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Nebyla S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ludvicek D. ↓, Chvatal J. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Nebyla S. ⚽, Rusek A. (A),
54', Mihalik O. ↓, van Buren M. ↑,
54', Sloncik T. ↓, Umar A. ↑,
59', Cvancara T. 🟨,
63', Cech F. ↓, Valenta M. ↑,
67', Zorvan F. ↓, Holly D. ↑,
67', Kuol G. ↓, Alioum S. ↑,
67', Cedidla M. ↓, Pavlovic D. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Cvancara T. ⚽, Horak D. (A),
77', Rusek A. ↓, Okeke N. ↑,
80', Darida V. ↓, Trubac D. ↑,
87', Nebyla S. ↓, Polidar M. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th in the Chance Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 8th in the Promotion - Chance Liga (7th - 10th places: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hradec Králové won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Jablonec may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hradec Králové is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Confirmed absences for Hradec Králové: Cihak F. (Health problems) Kucera J. (Red Card) Neto E. (Health problems) Wiesner T. (Knee Injury).

Confirmed absences for Jablonec: Jawo L. (Broken Hand) Milla K. (Broken Leg) Suchan J. (Health problems).

Doubtful / questionable for Hradec Králové: Horak D. (Injury) van Buren M. (Health problems).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hradec Králové has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:35 (averaging 1:1.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hradec Králové against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 10:16 goals (averaging 1:1.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Jablonec	12	6	2	4	16:13	3	20
11	Hradec Kralove	12	4	3	5	11:15	-4	15

Outrights of Czech 1 Liga for now

Jablonec: 1.32% Hradec Kralove: 0.92%

Last Results with these Odds

Hradec Králové - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.31%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Hradec Králové
Czech 1 Liga
17.10.26	Slavia Prague - Hradec Králové	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Hradec Králové - Artis Brno	2:4 ✺
20.09.26	Hradec Králové - Teplice	0:2 ✺
Czech Cup
16.09.26	Příbram - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
13.09.26	Zlín - Hradec Králové	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TLLWW
- FK Jablonec
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Jablonec - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.10.26	Jablonec - Viktoria Plzeň	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Freiburg - Jablonec	3:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
10.10.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
02.10.26	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
10.05.26	Jablonec - Hradec Králové	1:1
29.11.25	Hradec Králové - Jablonec	2:0
02.08.25	Jablonec - Hradec Králové	2:0
Czech Cup
12.03.25	Hradec Králové - Jablonec	1:2
Czech 1 Liga
01.03.25	Hradec Králové - Jablonec	1:1
28.09.24	Jablonec - Hradec Králové	2:0
02.03.24	Jablonec - Hradec Králové	1:1

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