Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Europa-Park Stadion (Freiburg) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Malcevs E. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport Austria 5
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Czech Republic	21:00	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Estonia	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 10
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Japan	04:00	Wowow Prime
Lithuania	22:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Philippines	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	20:00	DAZN / App
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 15
Thailand	02:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 10
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 10, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Freiburg		Jablonec

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	13.00
	1.24	5.50	11.00
	1.20	6.75	14.00
	1.27	5.92	11.85
	1.27	5.6	11	Watch
	1.26	5.70	10.00
	1.26	5.32	13.90
	1.24	6.60	13.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.39)	5.83 ↑ (4.87)	12.22 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Freiburg
76%

Draw
16.3%

Jablonec
7.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.8%

19.3%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Freiburg's performance.

Jablonec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jablonec might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jablonec than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Freiburg - Jablonec Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.65) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Backhaus M. (G) 17. Kubler L. 28. Ginter M. 37. Rosenfelder M. 30. Gunter C. (C) 8. Eggestein M. 6. Osterhage P. 22. Irie C. 14. Suzuki Y. 32. Grifo V. 9. Holer L.	1. Hanus J. (G) 18. Cedidla M. 4. Tekijaski N. (C) 15. Pavlovic D. 20. Slama J. 6. Okeke N. 13. Sedlacek R. 7. Chanturishvili V. 17. Alioum S. 21. Polidar M. 9. Rusek A.
Substitutes
16. Engelhardt Y. 42. Goto K. 24. Huth J. (G) 5. Jung A. 3. Lienhart P. 33. Makengo J. 31. Matanovic I. 21. Muller F. (G) 29. Treu P. 20. Yamamoto R. 40. Zelic M.	19. Chramosta J. 24. Holly D. 36. Kuol G. 31. Maly E. 99. Mihelak K. (G) 25. Nebyla S. 57. Novak F. 12. Nykrin D. 14. Soucek D. 8. Zorvan F.
Coaches
Schuster J.	Kozel L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', Tekijaski N. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Grifo V. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Rusek A. ⚽, Slama J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Pavlovic D. (Own goal),
59', Holer L. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
59', Gunter C. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
63', Okeke N. 🟨,
65', 3 - 1, Eggestein M. ⚽, Kubler L. (A),
66', Alioum S. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
66', Okeke N. ↓, Nebyla S. ↑,
71', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Lienhart P. ↑,
71', Irie C. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
72', Osterhage P. 🟨,
76', Rusek A. ↓, Holly D. ↑,
76', Sedlacek R. ↓, Soucek D. ↑,
77', Holly D. 🟨,
84', Polidar M. ↓, Chramosta J. ↑,
84', Kubler L. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Kuol G. ⚽,

Preview

Freiburg is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jablonec is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The betting markets point to Freiburg as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Freiburg: Muslija F. (Off the roster).

Confirmed absences for Jablonec: Ahl H. (Off the roster) Horak R. (Off the roster) Jawo L. (Broken Hand) Mihelak K. (Injury) Milla K. (Broken Leg) Sobol E. (Off the roster) Vecheta F. (Off the roster).

Doubtful / questionable for Freiburg: Yilmaz B. (Knock).

Doubtful / questionable for Jablonec: Suchan J. (Health problems).

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
24	Jablonec	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Freiburg: 8.93% Jablonec: 0.32%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Freiburg
German Bundesliga
11.10.26	Freiburg - Schalke 04	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Freiburg - Luzern	4:2
German Bundesliga
19.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Freiburg	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Freiburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Paderborn - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTWW
- FK Jablonec
Czech 1 Liga
10.10.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
02.10.26	Dukla Prague - Jablonec	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
20.09.26	Jablonec - Zlín	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Sparta Prague - Jablonec	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTLW

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