Match Info

CROATIA: Druga NL - Round 24

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Hrvace		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	3.81	3.65	1.84
	3.9	3.5	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.1)	3.58 ↑ (3.2)	1.8 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hrvace
23.7%

Draw
25.5%

Kustošija
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

28.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

27.9%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvace has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hrvace's form might have worsened.

Kustošija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kustošija's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hrvace than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hrvace, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kustošija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, ⚽,
25', 0 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 4).

Recent matches Hrvace is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kustošija is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kustošija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Kustošija is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hrvace won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvace
Croatian Druga NL
13.04.24	Jadran Poreč - Hrvace	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Hrvace - Bjelovar	2:1 ✺
29.03.24	Karlovac - Hrvace	4:0 ✺
23.03.24	Dugo Selo - Hrvace	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Hrvace - Grobničan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTT
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Druga NL
12.04.24	Kustošija - Grobničan	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Krk - Kustošija	0:2 ✺
29.03.24	Kustošija - Jadran Luka Ploče	1:0 ✺
23.03.24	Trnje Zagreb - Kustošija	0:4 ✺
15.03.24	Kustošija - Mladost Ždralovi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
14.10.23	Kustošija - Hrvace	3:1

Upcoming Matches