Match Info

Prva NL - Round 9

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gradski stadion Hrvace (Hrvace) 🌤️ ...


	Hrvace		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.20	3.10
	2.10	3.15	3.05
	2.08	3.40	3.16
	2.1	3.26	3.21	Watch
	2.05	3.35	3.10
	2.21	3.29	3.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.44)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	3.14 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvace
43.1%

Draw
27.8%

Kustošija
29.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.4%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

28.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hrvace's performance.

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvace than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hrvace that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hrvace - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Tomic T. (G) 4. Bungic K. 2. Djolonga N. 29. Ikic I. 27. Jemo B. 20. Lucic L. 8. Medic V. 5. Milovic F. 17. Pokrajcic A. (C) 11. Vehabovic E. 15. Vrcic J.	12. Rajic A. (G) 18. Krizmanic T. 3. Markanovic F. 51. Nichols J. 19. Nwachukwu P. O. 25. Sopic S. 88. Sunjic N. (C) 13. Vuckovic M. 7. Zabec D. 17. Zalazar M. 4. Zeqiraj L.
Substitutes
1. Bakota L. (G) 13. Balic A. 19. Curkovic L. 18. Domancic M. 21. Ljubic D. 9. Peros R. 23. Vrdoljak J. 22. Vuckovic J. 25. Zebic M.	15. Bartulovic J. 23. Begonja D. 55. Graf I. 5. Kulenovic T. 16. Petrosyan R. 20. Pregelj D. 1. Prslja L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 🟨,
31', 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, ⚽,
54', 1 - 2, ⚽,
63', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
81', 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 15th).

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Hrvace may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hrvace is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Hrvace has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 1.3:3.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hrvace against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kustosija	10	3	4	3	8:8	0	13
16	Hrvace	10	2	2	6	8:15	-7	8

Last Results with these Odds

Hrvace - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvace
Croatian Prva NL
10.10.26	Vukovar 91 - Hrvace	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Hrvace - Orijent	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Bijelo Brdo - Hrvace	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Hrvace - Dubrava	0:0 ✺
06.09.26	Karlovac - Hrvace	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWWTL
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
09.10.26	Opatija - Kustošija	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Jadran Luka Ploče - Kustošija	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Kustošija - Croatia Zmijavci	1:0 ✺
Croatian Cup
16.09.26	Kustošija - Bijelo Brdo	1:2 ✺
Croatian Prva NL
12.09.26	Cibalia - Kustošija	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
25.04.25	Kustošija - Hrvace	4:2
20.04.24	Hrvace - Kustošija	1:3
14.10.23	Kustošija - Hrvace	3:1

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