Match Info

Druga NL - Round 26

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion NŠC Stjepan Spajić (Zagreb)


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Marsonia

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.25
	1.5	4.1	5.4
	1.41	4.63	5.42
	1.51	4.15	5.46	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.22
	1.5	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.6)	4.21 ↑ (3.8)	5.53 ↑ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
62%

Draw
21.6%

Marsonia
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24%

19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

18.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Marsonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hrvatski Dragovoljac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsonia than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marsonia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Marsonia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Sanogo S. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Soljic J. ⚽,
42', 3 - 0, Janusic T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
57', 4 - 0, Pliso L. ⚽,
79', 5 - 0, Soplanda M. ⚽,
90+1', 5 - 1, Kokotovic B. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Marsonia has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Marsonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Marsonia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hrvatski Dragovoljac is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian Druga NL
26.04.25	Solin - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Jadran Poreč	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Trnje Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	3:1 ✺
06.04.25	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Karlovac	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Bjelovar - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLLLW
- NK Marsonia
Croatian Druga NL
19.04.25	Jadran Luka Ploče - Marsonia	4:1 ✺
12.04.25	Marsonia - Hrvace	1:3 ✺
05.04.25	Dugo Selo - Marsonia	4:0 ✺
21.03.25	Mladost Ždralovi - Marsonia	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kustošija - Marsonia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Druga NL
22.03.24	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Marsonia	1:2
16.09.23	Marsonia - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	1:3

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