Match Info

Date: 22 April 2022, Friday


	Hrvatski Dragovoljac		Šibenik

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.25	2.65
	2.43	3.2	2.55
	2.41	3.3	2.75
	2.44	3.75	2.72
	2.6	3	2.62	Watch
	2.41	3.58	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↓ (2.77)	3.37 ↑ (3.32)	2.66 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hrvatski Dragovoljac
37.8%

Draw
27.5%

Šibenik
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.7%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

28.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hrvatski Dragovoljac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hrvatski Dragovoljac than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hrvatski Dragovoljac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Šibenik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Šibenik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. HNL and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0.

Recent matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Šibenik is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Šibenik have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 16-27.

Including matches at home between the teams Hrvatski Dragovoljac won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NK Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Croatian HNL
16.04.22	Osijek - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
03.04.22	Dinamo Zagreb - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:0 ✺
18.03.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Istra 1961	0:0 ✺
13.03.22	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Rijeka	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.8 LTLTW
- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
16.04.22	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	2:1 ✺
09.04.22	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	2:1 ✺
02.04.22	Šibenik - Gorica	0:1 ✺
20.03.22	Šibenik - Osijek	0:3 ✺
11.03.22	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
11.02.22	Šibenik - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	0:5
30.10.21	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Šibenik	1:1
15.08.21	Šibenik - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	6:2
Croatian Prva NL
18.09.19	Šibenik - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:0
23.03.19	Šibenik - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1
14.09.18	Hrvatski Dragovoljac - Šibenik	1:1
28.04.18	Šibenik - Hrvatski Dragovoljac	2:1

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