Match Info

CROATIA: HNL - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Referee: Kolaric P. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Šibenik		Lokomotiva Zagreb

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.3
				Watch
	3.15	3	2.21
	3.17	3.25	2.35
	3.1	3.28	2.29	Watch
	3.2	3.1	2.25
	3.11	3.28	2.28	Watch
	3.15	3	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.85)	3.14 ↓ (3.26)	2.27 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
29.7%

Draw
29.5%

Lokomotiva Zagreb
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.5%

28.4%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

27.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Lokomotiva Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiva Zagreb than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	23.1%	69.2%

Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Lokomotiva will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiva: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Djakovic A. (G) 15. Agyemang M. 23. Nizic Z. 24. Puncec R. 43. Grzan S. 21. Pozo I. 5. Cvek L. 88. Prekodravac M. 32. Durakovic E. 18. Santini I. 9. Bozic I.	31. Subaric Z. (G) 13. Karacic F. 20. Kolinger D. 4. Sigali L. 17. Pajac M. 15. Smakaj A. 23. Feta F. 30. Vukovic D. 8. Mudrazija R. 7. Gorican S. 9. Andric K.
Substitutes
8. Bakic O. 36. Kavelj A. 17. Koscevic Z. 27. Kulusic L. 11. Laca I. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 55. Peric S. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.	10. Antolic D. 6. Boskovic B. 11. Busnja D. 12. Hendija K. (G) 24. Katic I. 3. Mbacke D. 25. Susak M. 29. Vasilj J. 27. Vranjkovic M. 21. Vrbancic L. 14. Zivkovic M.
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Cabraja S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Gorican S. 🟨,
45+5', Karacic F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Prekodravac M. ↓, Laca I. ↑,
51', Nizic Z. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Gorican S. ⚽, Smakaj A. (A),
59', Pozo I. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
59', Durakovic E. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Peric S. ⚽, Nizic Z. (A),
63', Majic J. 🟨,
68', Nizic Z. ↓, Bakic O. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Gorican S. ⚽, Vukovic D. (A),
79', Bozic I. ↓, Kulusic L. ↑,
81', Mudrazija R. ↓, Vrbancic L. ↑,
84', Sigali L. 🟨,
90+1', Andric K. ↓, Vranjkovic M. ↑,
90+4', Vukovic D. ↓, Busnja D. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Lokomotiva: Dajcer L. (Yellow Cards) Leovac M. (Yellow Cards) Zilinski F. (Injury)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 17:28 (average 1:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:22 (average 0.9:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
07.02.25	Dinamo Zagreb - Šibenik	3:0 ✺
01.02.25	Šibenik - Slaven Belupo	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Osijek - Šibenik	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Šibenik - GOŠK Gabela	4:0 ✺
11.01.25	Zalaegerszegi TE - Šibenik	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTTWL
- NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Croatian HNL
09.02.25	Slaven Belupo - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1 ✺
02.02.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Hajduk Split	3:2 ✺
26.01.25	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	4:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Varaždin	3:2 ✺
15.01.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Primorje	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
08.11.24	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:3
23.08.24	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	0:1
21.04.23	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	1:0
12.02.23	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:4
Club Friendly
11.01.23	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	0:2
Croatian HNL
07.10.22	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	1:1
29.07.22	Šibenik - Lokomotiva Zagreb	2:1

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