Match Info

HNL - Round 32

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Stadion Šubićevac (Šibenik)

Referee: Erceg M. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go


	Šibenik		Gorica

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.7	2.9
	2.6	3	2.75	Watch
	2.44	3	3.05
	2.67	2.95	3.11
	2.41	3.03	3.07	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.75
	2.62	2.88	2.98	Watch
	2.44	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 (2.55)	2.93 ↓ (2.95)	2.96 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Šibenik
36.6%

Draw
31.8%

Gorica
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

31.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Šibenik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Gorica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Šibenik than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Gorica aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Šibenik - Gorica Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Šibenik will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Gorica will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Šibenik: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Šibenik (votes: 2 - 40%). Gorica (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Gorica (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Šibenik (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gorica (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Filipovic I. (G) 5. Cvek L. 15. Agyemang M. 44. Zuta L. 43. Grzan S. 36. Kavelj A. 21. Pozo I. 32. Durakovic E. 11. Laca I. 27. Kulusic L. 18. Santini I. (C)	31. Banic I. (C) 2. Mikanovic D. 4. Steenvoorden M. 25. Krizmanic K. 27. Sikosek G. 7. Pajaziti A. 6. Gurlica J. 14. Elezi A. 32. Halilovic T. 8. Ndockyt M. 9. Cuic F.
Substitutes
9. Bozic I. 1. Djakovic A. (G) 70. Jakolis A. 22. Kolega T. 17. Koscevic Z. 3. Liu A. 7. Majic J. 25. Mohorovic P. (G) 55. Peric S. 88. Prekodravac M. 28. Roca I. 30. Zdunic B.	24. Basic M. 28. Bralic S. 50. Erceg A. 29. Jojic N. 21. Kolar M. 47. Kresic A. 77. Majstorovic V. 88. Sagna S. 11. Slogar M. 20. Vrzic L. 30. Zarkov D. (G) 1. Ziger K. (G)
Coaches
Vidovic R.	Carevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Cuic F. 🟨,
56', Pajaziti A. ↓, Bralic S. ↑,
63', Kulusic L. ↓, Bozic I. ↑,
75', Grzan S. ↓, Majic J. ↑,
75', Kavelj A. ↓, Peric S. ↑,
77', Mikanovic D. ↓, Majstorovic V. ↑,
77', Ndockyt M. ↓, Vrzic L. ↑,
86', Halilovic T. ↓, Erceg A. ↑,
88', Cvek L. ↓, Jakolis A. ↑,
88', Durakovic E. ↓, Kolega T. ↑,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Prva NL and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 2.

Recent matches Šibenik is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gorica is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Šibenik: Bakic O. (Yellow Cards) Nizic Z. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Gorica: Fiolic I. (Injury) Prsir J. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Šibenik won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 21:30 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Šibenik won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:16 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Šibenik
Croatian HNL
22.04.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Šibenik	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Šibenik - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
11.04.25	Slaven Belupo - Šibenik	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Šibenik - Osijek	4:1 ✺
30.03.25	Hajduk Split - Šibenik	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWL
- HNK Gorica
Croatian HNL
23.04.25	Gorica - Dinamo Zagreb	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	Osijek - Gorica	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Gorica - Istra 1961	3:2 ✺
04.04.25	Varaždin - Gorica	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Lokomotiva Zagreb - Gorica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 34.5 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Croatian HNL
23.02.25	Gorica - Šibenik	1:0
24.11.24	Šibenik - Gorica	1:0
30.08.24	Gorica - Šibenik	2:1
14.04.23	Šibenik - Gorica	0:4
05.02.23	Gorica - Šibenik	0:3
Croatian Cup
09.11.22	Šibenik - Gorica	2:0
Croatian HNL
02.10.22	Šibenik - Gorica	1:1

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