Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 25

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday


	Huarte		Peña Sport

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.3
	3.1	3.05	2.15
	3.33	3.39	2.04
	7.18	1.26	6.80	Watch
	3.31	3.24	2.04
	2.7	3.25	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (2.7)	2.9 ↓ (3.3)	2.95 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huarte
28.3%

Draw
36.2%

Peña Sport
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

27.6%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

27.9%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huarte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Huarte's form might have worsened.

Peña Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huarte than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Huarte - Peña Sport Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Huarte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Huarte is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Peña Sport has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Huarte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Huarte won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Huarte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Huarte	5	0	4	1	4:5	-1	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huarte
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
27.02.26	Egüés - Huarte	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Aoiz - Huarte	2:3 ✺
14.02.26	Huarte - Cortes	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Oberena - Huarte	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Huarte - Izarra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWT
- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.02.26	Oberena - Peña Sport	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Peña Sport - Izarra	1:2 ✺
08.02.26	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pamplona - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
25.10.25	Peña Sport - Huarte	2:1
16.12.23	Huarte - Peña Sport	0:2
02.04.23	Peña Sport - Huarte	0:0
02.12.22	Huarte - Peña Sport	2:1

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