Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Peña Sport		Izarra

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.05	2.68
	2.46	3.16	2.76
	2.46	3.16	2.75
	2.39	3.08	2.71
	2.4	3.14	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.43)	3.12 ↑ (3.09)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peña Sport
37.5%

Draw
29.2%

Izarra
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

29.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

31.2%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peña Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Izarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Sport than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Peña Sport - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 2.

Peña Sport has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Izarra is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Peña Sport won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Peña Sport won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Izarra	5	5	0	0	18:2	16	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peña Sport
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
08.02.26	Bidezarra - Peña Sport	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Peña Sport - Txantrea	2:0 ✺
24.01.26	Pamplona - Peña Sport	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Peña Sport - Cirbonero	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Peña Sport - Artajonés	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLTW
- CD Izarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
07.02.26	Izarra - Egüés	1:0 ✺
31.01.26	Huarte - Izarra	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Izarra - Cortes	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Oberena - Izarra	2:2 ✺
10.01.26	Izarra - Aoiz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
04.10.25	Izarra - Peña Sport	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
14.04.22	Peña Sport - Izarra	0:1
27.11.21	Izarra - Peña Sport	3:1
25.02.18	Izarra - Peña Sport	0:1
08.10.17	Peña Sport - Izarra	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.03.16	Izarra - Peña Sport	2:0
24.10.15	Peña Sport - Izarra	2:1

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