The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Humaitá 27.9%
Draw 27.4%
Nacional AM 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22.2%
26.8%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.9%
26.5%
51.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Humaitá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Humaitá's performance.
Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional AM might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humaitá than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Humaitá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional AM could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Both teams are now playing unstable.
In this match Nacional AM is a favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Humaitá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.