Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Effortville Community Centre (Clarendon)


	Humble Lions		Dunbeholden

	1	X	2
	2.19	3.05	3.33
	2.19	3.02	3.32	Watch
	2.18	3	3.27	Watch
	2.05	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.03)	3.06 ↓ (3.14)	3.36 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
42.6%

Draw
30%

Dunbeholden
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

29.1%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

24.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Dunbeholden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunbeholden than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Humble Lions - Dunbeholden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Samuel G. (G) 17. Barnett S. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 10. Clarke C. 22. Graham K. 12. Murray O. (C) 24. Ramsey R. 26. Sajay A. 15. Swaby E. 18. Thompson L.	3. Beckford R. 5. Binns D. 33. Brown R. 10. Christian N. 13. Douglas M. V. 40. Hamilton R. 8. McCarthy F. (C) 11. Merrick D. 21. Powell S. 18. Watkin C. 14. Wynter T.
Substitutes
25. Brown D. 23. Campbell S. 9. Christian J. 30. Harrison P. (G) 3. Jameison J. 11. McLeish K. 19. Plunkett D. 20. Thomas J. 27. Walker L.	17. Brown O. 16. Forbes M. 6. Merrick T. 4. Samuels O. 28. Slowly D. 9. Thomas D. 1. Williams M. (G) 19. Williams T. 23. Wright N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Douglas M. V. ⚽,
36', Swaby E. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', Campbell R. 🟨,
51', Brown R. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Barnett S. (Pen),
55', Watkin C. 🟨,
71', Beckford R. ↓, Samuels O. ↑,
77', Watkin C. ↓, Williams T. ↑,
80', Chambers A. ↓, Jameison J. ↑,
90+2', Ramsey R. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
90+3', Clarke C. ↓, Plunkett D. ↑,
90+5', Merrick D. ↓, Brown O. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 1.

Recent matches Humble Lions is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dunbeholden has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Humble Lions will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
13.04.25	Waterhouse - Humble Lions	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Humble Lions - Portmore United	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Molynes United - Humble Lions	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Humble Lions - Cavalier	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Humble Lions - Montego Bay United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLTWT
- Dunbeholden FC
Jamaica National Premier League
13.04.25	Dunbeholden - Molynes United	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Montego Bay United - Dunbeholden	4:0 ✺
03.04.25	Dunbeholden - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Dunbeholden - Harbour View	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Vere United - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
23.02.25	Dunbeholden - Humble Lions	3:2
24.11.24	Humble Lions - Dunbeholden	0:0
21.01.24	Humble Lions - Dunbeholden	0:0
21.12.23	Dunbeholden - Humble Lions	1:0
13.02.23	Dunbeholden - Humble Lions	1:2
23.10.22	Humble Lions - Dunbeholden	0:0
05.06.22	Humble Lions - Dunbeholden	3:1

Humble Lions - Dunbeholden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide