Match Info

Premier League - Round 35

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Effortville Community Centre (Clarendon)


	Humble Lions		Portmore United

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.2	1.98
	3.65	3.25	1.92
	3.77	3.53	1.85	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2
	4.13	3.36	1.79	Watch
	3.65	3.25	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↓ (6.14)	3.28 ↓ (3.87)	1.91 ↑ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
24.8%

Draw
27.7%

Portmore United
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.9%

23.6%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

22.9%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Humble Lions's performance.

Portmore United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Portmore United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Humble Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portmore United than the current prediction. (+16%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portmore United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Humble Lions - Portmore United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Humble Lions will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Humble Lions (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Humble Lions (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Humble Lions (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Samuel G. (C) 17. Barnett S. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 10. Clarke C. 22. Graham K. 12. Murray O. 24. Ramsey R. 26. Sajay A. 18. Thompson L. 13. Watson D.	32. Russell D. (C) 12. Brown J. 29. Gayle N. 15. Guthrie R. 27. Henry S. 23. Howard O. 26. Howell R. 8. Mullings A. 5. Peck C. 16. Russell O. 24. Ximines T.
Substitutes
25. Brown D. 8. Bryan K. 9. Christian J. 30. Harrison P. (G) 3. Jameison J. 14. Neil G. 15. Swaby E. 20. Thomas J. 27. Walker L.	18. Bryan T. 14. Grant J. 28. Headley G. 10. James S. 7. Knight S. 11. Pinnock Z. 22. Robinson R. 3. Small R. 40. York S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Graham K. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Robinson R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Clarke C. ↓, Jameison J. ↑,
58', Watson D. ↓, Swaby E. ↑,
59', Barnett S. ↓, Brown D. ↑,
65', Robinson R. 🟨,
67', Henry S. ↓, Knight S. ↑,
68', Brown J. ↓, Bryan T. ↑,
75', Russell O. ↓, Howard O. ↑,
75', Guthrie R. ↓, James S. ↑,
77', Russell D. 🟨,
82', Thompson L. ↓, Bryan K. ↑,
83', Chambers A. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 0.

Recent matches Humble Lions is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Portmore is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Humble Lions could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Portmore is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 13:27 (average 0.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:13 (average 0.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
30.03.25	Molynes United - Humble Lions	1:1 ✺
27.03.25	Humble Lions - Cavalier	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Humble Lions - Montego Bay United	0:0 ✺
20.03.25	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Humble Lions - Harbour View	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.9 TWTLW
- Portmore United
Jamaica National Premier League
02.04.25	Portmore United - Molynes United	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Montego Bay United - Portmore United	0:0 ✺
23.03.25	Portmore United - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Harbour View - Portmore United	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Portmore United - Vere United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
02.02.25	Portmore United - Humble Lions	2:1
10.11.24	Humble Lions - Portmore United	0:1
07.04.24	Portmore United - Humble Lions	2:0
03.01.24	Humble Lions - Portmore United	1:4
23.04.23	Portmore United - Humble Lions	1:1
22.01.23	Humble Lions - Portmore United	1:0
01.05.22	Humble Lions - Portmore United	1:0

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