The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Humble Lions 36.4%
Draw 27.2%
Molynes United 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.7%
28.7%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.4%
29.2%
33%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Humble Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Molynes United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molynes United than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
12.5%
75%
12.5%
Humble Lions - Molynes United Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Humble Lions will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Molynes will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 75%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Harrison P. (G) 4. Anderson C. 17. Barnett S. 23. Campbell S. 5. Chambers A. 22. Graham K. 12. Murray O. (C) 19. Plunkett D. 7. Sharpe R. N. 18. Thompson L. 27. Walker L.
55. Donaie D. (G) 22. Brown J. 45. Frankson S. 5. Gordon E. (C) 7. Graham M. 34. Graham S. 19. Hutchinson D. 11. Livingston R. 31. McGregor P. 4. Thompson K. T. 9. Wilson T.
Substitutes
21. Bailey C. 24. Brooks 8. Bryan K. 10. Clarke C. 11. Ellis M. 6. Pascoe F. 33. Samuel G. (G) 15. Scott A. 20. Thomas J. 16. Thompson J. 13. Watson D.
33. Dennis S. 3. Johnson S. 25. McLaughlin D. 27. Miller S. 16. Powell A. 1. Robinson C. (G) 10. Wright J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Thompson L. (Own goal),
37', Walker L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Hutchinson D. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
56', Graham S. ↓, McLaughlin D. ↑,
62', Anderson C. ↓, Thomas J. ↑,
78', Sharpe R. N. ↓, Bryan K. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Thomas J. ⚽,
81', Graham M. ↓, Wright J. ↑,
86', Walker L. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
87', Plunkett D. ↓, Ellis M. ↑,
88', Wilson T. ↓, Miller S. ↑,
89', 1 - 2, Livingston R. ⚽,
Preview
A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 2.
Humble Lions is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Molynes is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Molynes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:11 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:5 (average 1.4:1).