Match Info

JAMAICA: Premier League - Round 16

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Effortville Community Centre (Clarendon)


	Humble Lions		Vere United

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3
	2.09	3.3	3.15
	2.13	3.46	3.04	Watch
	2.15	3	3.2
	2.21	3.15	3.04
	2.09	3.3	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)	3.24 ↑ (3.23)	3.1 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
42.8%

Draw
28%

Vere United
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

26.9%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Humble Lions's performance.

Vere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Humble Lions than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vere United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Humble Lions - Vere United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Humble Lions will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Samuel G. (G) 4. Anderson C. 28. Campbell R. 5. Chambers A. 3. Jameison J. 12. Murray O. (C) 6. Pascoe F. 26. Smith J. 20. Thomas J. 18. Thompson L. 27. Walker L.	31. Harrison M. (G) 32. Anderson J. N. 5. Brown C. 11. Butler K. 6. Forbes M. 9. Gordon R. 66. Harris D. 10. Mckenzie D. 4. Thomas D. 8. Thomas R. 17. Woo Ling M. (C)
Substitutes
17. Brown O. . Campbell S. 10. Clarke C. 15. Duncan J. 25. Green L. 30. Harrison P. (G) 19. Mullings K. 16. Scott A.	1. Adair S. (G) 33. Daniel J. 27. Gourzong R. 23. Juba D. 15. Leighton S. 28. Nelson B. 19. Peralto D. 13. Waul S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Anderson C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Smith J. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
67', Thomas R. ↓, Leighton S. ↑,
77', Mckenzie D. ↓, Daniel J. ↑,
83', Thomas J. ↓, Mullings K. ↑,
84', Brown C. 🟨,
84', Butler K. ↓, Peralto D. ↑,
85', Harris D. ↓, Nelson B. ↑,
87', 🟨,
88', 0 - 1, Gordon R. ⚽,
90', Peralto D. 🟨,
90+5', Gordon R. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Humble Lions won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:4 (average 1.1:0.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Humble Lions won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:0 (average 1.8:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
29.12.24	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	5:1 ✺
22.12.24	Cavalier - Humble Lions	3:1 ✺
09.12.24	Humble Lions - Mount Pleasant	1:4 ✺
01.12.24	Racing United - Humble Lions	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Humble Lions - Dunbeholden	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLTT
- Vere United
Jamaica National Premier League
29.12.24	Vere United - Molynes United	0:5 ✺
23.12.24	Montego Bay United - Vere United	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Vere United - Chapelton Maroons	2:1 ✺
02.12.24	Harbour View - Vere United	0:0 ✺
28.11.24	Vere United - Mount Pleasant	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
29.09.24	Vere United - Humble Lions	1:1
10.03.24	Humble Lions - Vere United	3:0
10.12.23	Vere United - Humble Lions	2:1
02.04.23	Humble Lions - Vere United	2:0
01.01.23	Vere United - Humble Lions	0:0
22.05.22	Humble Lions - Vere United	1:0
06.03.22	Vere United - Humble Lions	0:0

Humble Lions - Vere United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide