Match Info

Premier League - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Humble Lions		Chapelton Maroons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	3.40	1.91	Watch
	4.15	3.65	1.83
	3.82	3.68	1.87	Watch
	3.85	3.5	1.78
	3.95	3.74	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (3.21)	3.59 ↓ (3.66)	1.84 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Humble Lions
24.2%

Draw
25.7%

Chapelton Maroons
50.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.9%

25.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Humble Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Humble Lions - Chapelton Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 13th in the Relegation and 10th).

Chapelton is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Humble Lions has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Humble Lions against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:0 goals (averaging 2.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Chapelton	7	2	3	2	4:10	-6	9
14	Humble Lions	7	0	2	5	3:19	-16	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Humble Lions
Jamaica National Premier League
04.10.26	Treasure Beach - Humble Lions	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Portmore United - Humble Lions	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Humble Lions - Waterhouse	0:5 ✺
13.09.26	Tivoli Gardens - Humble Lions	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Humble Lions - Mount Pleasant	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLL
- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
05.10.26	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	0:6 ✺
27.09.26	Tivoli Gardens - Chapelton Maroons	1:1 ✺
20.09.26	Chapelton Maroons - Molynes United	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Montego Bay United - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
20.03.25	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	2:1
19.01.25	Humble Lions - Chapelton Maroons	1:0
16.10.24	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	2:0
16.04.23	Humble Lions - Chapelton Maroons	4:0
15.01.23	Chapelton Maroons - Humble Lions	0:3

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