Match Info

Premier League - Round 39

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Wembley Centre of Excellence (Hayes)


	Vere United		Chapelton Maroons

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.7	1.61
	4.6	3.7	1.64
	4.52	3.49	1.61
	4.52	3.66	1.68	Watch
	4.51	3.85	1.62
	4.6	3.7	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.36)	3.68 ↑ (3.28)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vere United
20%

Draw
24.6%

Chapelton Maroons
55.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

24.3%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vere United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vere United's form might have worsened.

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chapelton Maroons's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vere United than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vere United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapelton Maroons than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chapelton Maroons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Vere United - Chapelton Maroons Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Harrison M. (G) 5. Brown C. 11. Butler K. 12. Cunningham M. 9. Gordon R. 10. Mckenzie D. 15. Mitchell D. 32. Pegoretti Marcos 7. Phillips S. 8. Whitfield D. 17. Woo Ling M. (C)	32. Smith P. (G) 7. Campbell R. 16. Clarke D. 13. Cohen D. 17. Ellis J. 9. Howell J. 26. Howe N. 14. Ricketts O. (C) 12. Vanzie A. 28. Watson D. 11. Williams L.
Substitutes
6. Forbes M. 66. Harris D. 27. Juba D. 28. Nelson B. 18. Suazo A. 4. Thomas D. 13. Waul S.	22. Bennett N. 3. Blackwood N. 6. Clarke D. 27. Evans S. S. 8. Graham K. 23. Miller O. 10. Stephens M. 18. Watson O. 1. Willian (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
24', 0 - 1, Ellis J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Howe N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Pegoretti Marcos ⚽,
66', Ellis J. ↓, Stephens M. ↑,
66', Clarke D. ↓, Graham K. ↑,
66', Watson D. ↓, Miller O. ↑,
68', 1 - 3, Cohen D. ⚽,
72', Phillips S. ↓, Suazo A. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Vere United is Relegated to

Vere United has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Chapelton has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Chapelton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vere United won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Vere United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vere United
Jamaica National Premier League
27.04.25	Harbour View - Vere United	6:0 ✺
21.04.25	Arnett Gardens - Vere United	3:1 ✺
13.04.25	Vere United - Tivoli Gardens	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Cavalier - Vere United	3:1 ✺
02.04.25	Vere United - Mount Pleasant	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
27.04.25	Chapelton Maroons - Tivoli Gardens	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Cavalier - Chapelton Maroons	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Chapelton Maroons - Mount Pleasant	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Racing United - Chapelton Maroons	3:0 ✺
03.04.25	Dunbeholden - Chapelton Maroons	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
16.02.25	Chapelton Maroons - Vere United	1:1
08.12.24	Vere United - Chapelton Maroons	2:1
10.04.23	Chapelton Maroons - Vere United	0:4
08.01.23	Vere United - Chapelton Maroons	0:0

Vere United - Chapelton Maroons: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide