Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 7

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday

Location: John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol) (Melbourne)


	Hume City		Preston Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.68	3.3	2.3	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.35
	2.62	3.07	2.71	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.81	3.24	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.38)	3.23 ↓ (3.57)	2.38 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hume City
33.2%

Draw
28.3%

Preston Lions
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

25.7%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

26%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hume City's performance.

Preston Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Preston Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hume City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Preston Lions than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Preston Lions could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hume City - Preston Lions Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', 1 - 1, ⚽,
49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
54', 2 - 2, ⚽,
60', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Now, both teams are in good form.

Hume City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Preston Lions has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Hume City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
27.02.26	Hume City - Bentleigh Greens	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	South Melbourne - Hume City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 TWTWW
- Preston Lions
Australian NPL Victoria
20.03.26	Preston Lions - Avondale	2:1 ✺
13.03.26	Preston Lions - Caroline Springs George Cross	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Preston Lions - Heidelberg United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Melbourne City Youth - Preston Lions	0:3 ✺
20.02.26	Preston Lions - St Albans Dinamo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
16.05.25	Hume City - Preston Lions	0:1
07.02.25	Preston Lions - Hume City	2:1

Hume City - Preston Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide