Match Info

NPL Victoria - Round 9

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: John Ilhan Memorial Reserve (Nasiol) (Melbourne)


	Hume City		St Albans Dinamo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.48	4.25	4.95	Watch
	1.49	4.52	5.41
	1.67	3.97	4.43	Watch
	1.5	4	5
	1.45	4.33	5.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.61)	4.21 ↑ (4.1)	5.07 ↑ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hume City
60.2%

Draw
21.7%

St Albans Dinamo
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.4%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

21.6%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hume City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

St Albans Dinamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hume City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Albans Dinamo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Hume City - St Albans Dinamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

St Albans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Hume City is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Hume City won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:10. (average 2.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Hume City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hume City FC
Australian NPL Victoria
11.04.26	Oakleigh Cannons - Hume City	3:2 ✺
27.03.26	Hume City - Preston Lions	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Dandenong City - Hume City	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Hume City - Dandenong Thunder	3:1 ✺
06.03.26	Green Gully - Hume City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWTWT
- St Albans Dinamo
Australian NPL Victoria
10.04.26	St Albans Dinamo - Avondale	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Caroline Springs George Cross - St Albans Dinamo	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	St Albans Dinamo - Heidelberg United	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Melbourne City Youth - St Albans Dinamo	5:0 ✺
07.03.26	Altona Magic - St Albans Dinamo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Victoria
23.08.25	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	0:4
10.05.25	Hume City - St Albans Dinamo	3:2
23.06.24	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	0:3
16.03.24	Hume City - St Albans Dinamo	2:1
11.06.23	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	3:0
11.03.23	Hume City - St Albans Dinamo	1:1
10.07.22	St Albans Dinamo - Hume City	0:1

Hume City - St Albans Dinamo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide