The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Huracán Las Heras 52.9%
Draw 29%
Costa Brava 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
30.5%
24.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
31.9%
23.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Huracán Las Heras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Huracán Las Heras's performance.
Costa Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Costa Brava might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huracán Las Heras than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Huracán Las Heras that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Costa Brava than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Costa Brava could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Huracán Las Heras - Costa Brava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 3. Aguilar J. 6. Arciero R. 10. Bogado E. 11. Bonet J. 2. Coceres G. 7. Cortes F. 4. Dieli M. 9. Lucero J. 8. Romero F. 5. Sandoval N.
1. Silva L. (G) 2. Aguero P. 6. Alferez B. 8. Alles A. 4. Garoni J. 9. Gutierrez J. 10. Ibarra L. 11. Lara M. 7. Lopez A. 3. Pacheco N. 5. Riera E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Alferez B. 🟨,
11', Lucero J. (Penalty Awarded),
15', Riera E. 🟨,
16', Alferez B. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
23', Silva L. 🟨,
25', Arciero R. 🟨,
33', Bogado E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
63', Romero F. ↓, Algozino L. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Bonet J. ⚽,
68', 🟨,
79', 2 - 0, Bonet J. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).
In recent matches, Huracán Las Heras has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Costa Brava is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Huracán Las Heras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Huracán Las Heras could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Huracán Las Heras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Huracán Las Heras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.